millennium

Bargain Hunting At Millennium Tower

This week it’s residence 31E at Millennium Tower claiming the top spot on the weekly Underbid list, selling just shy of $300,000 UNDER asking price, and narrowly beating out unit 49B, also at Millennium Tower, which just closed $995,000 under asking, but still $2413.27 per square foot…
millennimtower
In fact, four of the top 10 underbids came this week by way of this ultra chic luxury tower, and that has me wondering, is it true what they’re saying?

As for the rest of the list:

Top 10 Underbids, San Francisco

Address BR BA Parking List Price Sold Price Underbid
301 Mission Street #31E 2 2.00 1 $2,595,000 $2,300,000 -11.37 %
301 Mission Street #49B 3 3.50 2 $8,995,000 $8,000,000 -11.06 %
301 Mission Street #704 2 2.00 1 $2,295,000 $2,100,000 -8.50 %
1587 15th Street 2 1.00 1 $447,706 $410,000 -8.42 %
355 1st Street 2 2.00 1 $1,825,000 $1,675,000 -8.22 %
3479-3483 Mission Street N/A N/A 0 $1,600,000 $1,480,000 -7.50 %
246 Stonecrest Drive 5 4.00 2 $1,985,000 $1,850,000 -6.80 %
301 Mission Street #38B 2 2.00 1 $2,895,000 $2,700,000 -6.74 %
483 Marietta Drive 4 3.00 2 $1,599,000 $1,500,000 -6.19 %
50 Bradford Street 2 1.00 1 $1,295,000 $1,220,000 -5.79 %

Over, Under, it doesn’t really matter. All of these homes on this list are selling for market price, and these buyers can/should be thrilled with their purchase.

As always, when it’s time to buy/sell, I’m here to help.

San Francisco Real Estate Market Splitting In Two [theFrontSteps]

sfflowermart

New Renderedings of Above-Ground SF Flower Mart Revealed

The SoMa-based SF Flower Mart has been a bay city institution for almost 60 years, but when plans were unveiled in 2014 for the establishment to move underground, public outcry was fierce.

Finally, the project has been revamped and the renderings depict a much more appealing above-ground facility, dotted with coffee shops, open space and plenty of sunlight for SF’s floral proprietors. The updated plan follows news that development company Kilroy Realty Corp. had purchased an adjoining  1.75-acre property at 620 Brannan St. bringing the square footage of the entire project to 2.1 million and making it the second biggest commercial development in SF after the Embarcadero Center.

Project Breakdown (see details below)
Creative Office Space: 2 mil sqft
Flower Mart Warehouse: 115,000 sqft
Retail / Market Hall: 100,000 sqft
Public Open Space: 40,000 sqft
Delivery: ~2020

sfflowermart2
Mixed-use Retail

Retail:
The San Francisco Flower Mart continues to witness the evolution of one of America’s greatest cities. What began almost 100 years ago as a loose arrangement of local growers selling their wares near Lotta’s Fountain soon grew into a physical marketplace at the corner of 5th and Howard. The market later became a formal institution at its current space at 6th and Brannan. This time, the market will remain in its current location in SoMa, but a major reshaping will make it the focal point of a dynamic, mixed-use space that offers a unique take on the urban lifestyle.

sfflowermart
Revamped Warehouse

The Warehouse:
The new San Francisco Flower Mart will include a modern, 115,000 sqft street-level warehouse, large enough to accommodate all tenants of the existing flower market. The improved layout will include secured entry points, as well as direct access to loading and parking to better service both input and output activities. 24-foot-high ceilings and strategically placed skylights create a light and airy feel inside of the warehouse and provide enough space for a multipurpose mezzanine level along the perimeter of the market. Energy efficient refrigeration will be located adjacent to each individual vendor stall. The specific details of the new facility will be further developed over the next several months by Kilroy Realty Corporation, San Francisco Flower Mart LLC, and a committee of Flower Mart tenants to ensure that the new market functions efficiently and effectively for businesses and customers.

sfflowermart4
Public Plaza

Integrated Public Plaza:
A series of integrated stairs throughout the site connect the amenity levels above to an expansive public plaza at the street level. The plaza will be the focal point of the Central SoMa neighborhood, which is currently lacking in high quality, well-maintained public open space. Boasting several convenient access points, connecting through the Market Hall, and encouraging pedestrian activity from nearby public transit, the plaza will also act as a programmable space for events such as famers’ markets and floral exhibitions. Pedestrian connections woven through the site are designed to address the recommendation of the Central SoMa Plan to link the surrounding city blocks to create more of a neighborhood feel. Through integrated windows off of the plaza, visitors and tenants will have the opportunity to catch a glimpse into the world of the fast-paced flower business without disrupting the busy wholesale operation inside.​

sfflowermart3
Creative Office Space

 

Creative Office Space:
Rising above retail experience will be a series of LEED Platinum-certified creative office buildings connected by sky bridges, giving tenants the flexibility to enjoy either large or medium-sized floorplates. A mix of rustic and modern facades and a low-rise podium building above the Market Hall on Brannan Street celebrates the industrial history and creative future of the neighborhood. Amenity plazas located above the Flower Mart warehouse at 14 and 24 feet contribute to a healthy office environment by providing office tenants with a convenient connection to the outdoors, attractive seating zones, recreational areas, and kiosks. This amenity zone, activated by the adjacent market and dynamic landscaping, will also extend the visual and functional identity of the Flower Mart.

More like this:
lobby-1-1024x682

Peep the New Ken Fulk-designed Luxury Residences at The Harrison

The Harrison is an unapologetically ostentatious transformation of the former luxury rental tower, 1 Rincon Hill, which sold for somewhere in the neighborhood of $400 million to Maximus Real Estate Partners last summer.

The tower, which is 49 stories tall and contains 298 units (valued at $1.3 million each based on the building’s sale price), is now marketing itself as the height of decadence in San Francisco real estate. Designed by Ken Fulk, San Francisco-based, interior designer and party planner to names like Sean Parker (that wedding in the redwoods), and Jean Paul Gaultier, The Harrison boasts truly inspired residences from the Siberian Oak wood floors to the custom brass and casted-glass wall sconces and stone countertops. No detail has been overlooked.

If you see yourself living in this kind of setting, with panoramic views of the bay, get in touch with me and we can view any number of available floor plans.

 

This slideshow requires JavaScript.

 

Harrison floorplan
1 Bed 1 Bath Floorplan at The Harrison

 

 

IMG_1221

San Francisco Condominium Real Estate Apprecation since 2011

The information below is provided by Paragon Real Estate Group, enjoy:

In the last 5 years, San Francisco real estate market rebounded and went crazy hot, but how much did it really appreciate? Below is a great analysis from Paragon that shows you the data using median sales price. This post is specific to condominiums, the next post is specific to houses appreciation.

Median sales price is a very general statistic, often concealing an enormous variety of values in the underlying individual sales. It can be and often is affected by other factors besides changes in fair market value, such as changes in the inventory available to purchase, and major changes in the distressed property, luxury home, or new condo construction segments. Sometimes median prices fluctuate without any great significance: substantially different groups of homes (larger, smaller, older, newer, etc.) simply sold in different periods. Assessing appreciation by changes in dollar per square foot values, instead of by median sales prices, can sometimes deliver significantly different appreciation rates.

Below the charts is a table with a more comprehensive list of San Francisco neighborhoods, and at the bottom of the page is a neighborhood map.

020607

020608

The neighborhoods on the table below are grouped by San Francisco Realtor District, some of which contain neighborhoods of relatively similar values and some with highly variable home values.

Generally speaking, the higher the number of sales, the more reliable the statistics: We’ve usually calculated appreciation rates for neighborhoods with at least 24 sales in 2015, but these should still be considered very approximate.

An asterisk signifies a very low a number of annual sales and/or our suspicion that the appreciation calculation would not reflect market reality due to the variety of issues pertaining in the area. New, high-price condo projects can make sudden, dramatic impacts on neighborhood median sales prices in the year they go on market. In 2011, median sales prices in some areas were badly distorted by distressed property sales (bank and short sales) that didn’t represent fair market values. If either of these situations applies, the 4-year appreciation rate will jump higher in that neighborhood.

020609

020610

020611

sfmap

If you, or anyone you know, are looking to buy or sell San Francisco real estate, take a look at my track record, happy clients, and generally awesome listings and let’s get you sorted.

luminapool

Lumina Sales Center Says Thanks

lumina

It’s not everyday a development runs an ad thanking those that have helped make it a success, but Lumina just did. I’m proud to be one of the many agents bringing buyers through the door, and making it a resounding success.

The LUMINA Sales Team & Tishman Speyer would like to extend their sincerest gratitude to those of you who have helped bring the vision of LUMINA to life.

Lumina San Francisco
Thanks Lumina sales center, it’s a pleasure working with you guys. Here’s to 2016 getting more people to recognize the sheer awesomeness of what you’re creating.

Contact me to get into Lumina today.

682 Duncan

Maximum Overbids Of the Week | $625,000 Over In Noe Valley | 291 Square Foot Studio Sells For $415,000

And the winner is…682 Duncan for a mere $625,000 over asking, and just shy of $1600 per square foot:
682 Duncan

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
682 Duncan Street 3/2.00/N/A 12 $1,050,000 $1,675,000 59.52%
430 Nevada Street 2/1.00/N/A 27 $699,000 $1,065,000 52.36%
1520 15th Street 2/1.00/N/A 22 $799,000 $1,175,000 47.06%
2219 25th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 13 $949,000 $1,380,000 45.42%
850 35th Avenue 2/1.50/N/A 38 $950,000 $1,380,000 45.26%
1994 45th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 28 $799,000 $1,130,000 41.43%
195 7th Street 0/1.00/306 38 $299,000 $415,000 38.80%
1257 Union Street 2/1.00/ 12 $1,195,000 $1,650,000 38.08%
1269 27th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 19 $1,108,000 $1,510,000 36.28%
136 Bradford Street 4/2.00/N/A 43 $899,000 $1,225,000 36.26%

Did you notice that little (291 square feet) sale for $415,000 at 195 7th Street?

As many of you know, I’ve been doing this Maximum Overbid feature for about 12 years running, maybe more. It started on sfnewsletter…it actually started sfnewsletter. Then I started posting the Maximum Overbids here, sometimes regularly, sometimes not. As much as these stats are great information, and surely get you scratching your head, they are not an indication of the market as a whole, and I know that very well. That is why I share not only the top 20 Overbids, but also Underbids, as well as properties still on the market more than 30 days. I share new listings of the past two weeks, as well as recent sales…not just overbids. I share this awesome information via The Goods. And in case you haven’t noticed, I share a sh*t ton of other data too.

I do all of this so you, the buyer, the seller, the renter, the owner, the neighbor, the landlord, the whatever you are, can educate yourself on properties and activity in your area. I’ve always felt it is important for you to know as much, or more than me about the market. If you appreciate this information, I encourage you to contact me when you, or anyone you know, are ready to buy or sell real estate. I encourage you to sign up for sfnewsletter, and I encourage you to follow this blog via email (opt-in form is below).

I am an expert at marketing property to get top dollar, and an expert at getting offers accepted for buyers, and I’d love to work with you. I’m no good at juggling and basketball, so don’t ask me to help you with that.

Have a great weekend!

Alex Clark
Paragon Real Estate Group
alexclark@gmail.com
415-254-5351

IMG_0339

San Francisco Real Estate Market Mid-Year Report

Home Price Appreciation Rates; Prices, Cost & Affordability;
Dollar per Square Foot; Interest Rates; Sales Price to List Price Ratio

Bay Area Appreciation Rates since 2011
Combined House & Condo Median Sales Prices

BayArea-Median-Price-Increases_2011-2015YTD_by-County

Besides the general economic recovery, there are other factors in different counties affecting home price increases over the past 4 years: 1) the huge decline in distressed property sales in those counties severely affected during the downturn (such as Solano, Contra Costa & Alameda), 2) the dramatic surge in luxury home sales (such as in SF, San Mateo & Marin), 3) increasing luxury condo construction (SF), and 4) the effect of the high-tech boom in employment and wealth, which radiates out from San Francisco and Silicon Valley.

The higher priced counties, led by San Francisco and San Mateo, saw the largest dollar increases in median prices since 2011 – $400,000 to $500,000 – but counties rebounding from the distressed property crisis often experienced the biggest percentage jumps. The city of Oakland, benefiting from both the decline in distressed sales and being the closest, most affordable option to high San Francisco housing prices saw by far the largest percentage increase: 133%.

————————————————————

San Francisco Appreciation Rates by Neighborhood

Note that median prices within the city are also affected by a variety of factors beyond simple increases in fair market value.

SF House Appreciation Rates in Dollars & Percentages

2011-2015_SF-Median-House-Price-Appreciation_Dollars

2011-2015_SF-Median-House-Price-Percentage-Appreciation

We’re almost positive that we recommended that everyone buy at least one median-priced Pacific Heights mansion in 2011 at the bargain-basement price of $3,225,000. If you had followed this (imaginary) advice, your home would have appreciated by $2.77 million. However, on a pure return on investment basis, you would have done better to snap up a few median-priced houses in the Mission, which appreciated by an incredible 143%. It should be noted that both of these neighborhoods have comparatively few house sales as compared to, say, the Sunset or Bernal Heights. Low supply is often one factor in high appreciation rates.

SF Condo Appreciation Rates in Dollars & Percentages

2011-2015_SF-Median-Condo-Price-Appreciation_Dollars

2011-2015_SF-Median-Condo-Price-Percentage-Appreciation

For condos, Russian Hill led the way in dollar median price appreciation and Yerba Buena was tops in percentage price increase since the bottom of the market in 2011.

Over the past 4 years, houses have appreciated a bit more than condos in the city, 81% to 73%, and that is probably due to the fact that houses are becoming the scarcer commodity: While thousands of new condos are now being built each year, new house construction can usually be counted on 2 or 3 hands.

For prevailing SF median house and condo prices, our interactive map of neighborhood values can be found here:SF Neighborhood Home-Price Map

————————————————————

Average Dollar per Square Foot Values
by San Francisco Neighborhood

7-15_House_AvgDolSqFt_by-SF-Neighborhood

7-15_Condo_AvgDolSqFt_by-SF-Neighborhood

Increasing average dollar per square foot values have been breaking records in neighborhoods throughout San Francisco for the last 2 years. Some of the surge in condo values is explained by the many recently built luxury condo projects – which have been selling at premium dollar per square foot prices – that have been sprouting up around the city.

————————————————————

San Francisco Luxury Home Sales

Q2-2015_SF-Luxury-Home-Sales_by_Qtr

Sales of higher-end houses and condos have been soaring in the city and hit by far their highest number ever in the second quarter. Big jumps in expensive home sales are an important factor behind increases in the overall median sales price.

————————————————————

Appreciation, Cost & Affordability

Short-Term Median Price Appreciation (since 2012)

Median_SFD-Condo_by-Qtr_Short-term

Long-Term Median Price Appreciation (since 1993)

Median-Price_Sep-SF-SFD-Cndo_1993-Present_V2

Inflation & Interested Rate-Adjusted Housing Cost (since 1993)

1993-Present_SF-PITI-Cost_Inflation-Adjusted

The short-term and long-term appreciation charts above are self-explanatory. The Home Cost Trends chart reflects a very approximate calculation of monthly home payment costs (principal, interest, property tax and insurance) adjusted for inflation – i.e. in 1993 dollars – using annual median house sales prices, average annual 30-year interest rates, and assuming a 20% downpayment. The average annual compounding CPI inflation rate fluctuated, but averaged approximately 2.4% over the period, and average annual mortgage rates fluctuated from 8.4% to 3.7% (see chart further below), which had a huge impact on financing costs.

Adjusting for inflation and interest rate changes means that though the median sales price is now far above that of 2007, the monthly housing cost is still a little bit below then. This isn’t a perfect apples-to-apples comparison because it doesn’t take into account that the amount of the 20% downpayment increased significantly over the time period. Still, since ongoing cost is typically an important factor for homebuyers (at least those getting financing), this affords another angle on our market.

————————————————————

Mortgage Interest Rate Trends

1993-Present_30-Year_Interest-Rates_Comp

Over the last 4 years, the big decline in interest rates has largely subsidized the increase in home prices.

————————————————————

Price Reductions, Sales Prices to List Prices,
and Days on Market

Q2-15_SP-OP_DOM_by-Price-Reduction

In the 2nd quarter, the vast majority of SF home sales sold without prior price reductions; these sold very quickly, at an astounding average of 14.5% over the original list price – clear indications of a white-hot market. For the past 4 years, spring has been by far the most frenzied selling season of the year, and the market usually cools in summer.

There you have it.

Recent Transactions [Alexander Clark]