elevator

Weekly Tally Of Top 10 Underbids

I use the term “weekly” very loosely, but at least you’re seeing Underbids!

Address BR BA Parking List Price Sold Price Underbid
74 Farview Court 2 1.00 2 $899,900 $800,000 -11.10 %
240 Liberty Street 2 1.00 1 $995,000 $890,000 -10.55 %
809-811 Pierce Street N/A N/A 2 $3,500,000 $3,200,000 -8.57 %
101-103 St Marys Avenue N/A N/A 1 $899,000 $825,000 -8.23 %
550 Davis Street 3 2.50 1 $2,800,000 $2,600,000 -7.14 %
2425 Francisco 3 2.00 1 $2,245,000 $2,100,000 -6.46 %
2937 Webster Street 3 2.00 1 $1,595,000 $1,500,000 -5.96 %
402 8th Avenue 2 2.00 1 $828,000 $780,000 -5.80 %
83 McAllister Street 2 1.00 0 $599,000 $565,000 -5.68 %
1537-1539 Mason Street N/A N/A 2 $1,800,000 $1,700,000 -5.56 %

Why the picture of the elevator buttons? To know which floor at 240 Liberty (#2 on the list) you’d be living on, of course.

stanyan

If It’s Not Selling Over, It’s Selling Under

Top 10 Underbids in San Francisco this past week:

Address BR BA Parking List Price Sold Price Underbid
1219-1219A Stanyan Street N/A N/A 2 $2,579,000 $2,100,000 -18.57 %
1111 Bay Street 2 2.00 1 $1,199,000 $1,000,000 -16.60 %
677 Ellis Street N/A N/A 0 $2,695,000 $2,275,000 -15.58 %
338 Spear Street 2 2.00 1 $1,999,999 $1,799,000 -10.05 %
39 Carmel Street 2 2.00 1 $1,995,000 $1,800,000 -9.77 %
21 Dalewood Way 2 1.00 1 $995,000 $915,000 -8.04 %
3959-3961 Washington Street N/A N/A 1 $5,300,000 $4,995,000 -5.75 %
1650 Broadway 3 2.50 2 $5,395,000 $5,100,000 -5.47 %
354 Roosevelt Way 3 3.00 1 $1,795,000 $1,700,000 -5.29 %
1450 Post Street 2 2.00 1 $709,000 $675,000 -4.80 %
1011 23rd Street Loft Bedroom

SOLD | 1011 23rd St. #10 | Dogpatch | $740,000

Dogpatch, San Francisco: according to Wikipedia “is located on the eastern side of the city, adjacent to the waterfront of the San Francisco Bay, and to the East of Potrero Hill. Its boundaries are Mariposa Street to the North, I-280 to the West, Cesar Chavez to the South, and the waterfront to the East. It contains housing, some remaining heavy industry, more recent light industry, and a new but growing arts district. In 2002 it became an officially designated historic district of the city of San Francisco….[and] there is no definitive explanation for the name

One thing we know for certain, Dogpatch

District 5

May 2016 Central San Francisco Market Conditions

District 5

District 5’s (See SF Districts Map Here) April numbers continue their strong upwards trend with their highest ever median sales price of $2,287,500. Year-over-year, the median price is up 8.9%.

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Resale Condo/Loft Median Prices

Resale condo-loft median prices have resumed the downward trend that started last September with a brief uptick in January and February. hey dropped 2.3% from March to April, landing at $1,245,000, which is the lowest median sales price since April 2015. They are down 0.4% year-to-date and 9.6% since their peak at $1,377,000 September 2015.

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While Single Family Homes Days on Market inched up to 17 in April, they are still at historically low numbers.

Days on Market for Resale Condo/Lofts dropped from 19 to 16.

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Single Family Homes Months Supply of Inventory dropped slightly to 2.4 from March’s 2.5 and up from April, 2015’s 1.7.

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This April there were the same number of single family home listings as in April, 2015. Over all, there have been 136 new listings in District 5 this year, one fewer than last year.

There have been 43 fewer condo/loft listings brought on the market year-to-date in 2016 than 2015. This is a 26% drop. And this is the first time in four years that the number of new condo/loft listings was lower in April than March.

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beach cottage

The Itsy Bitsy Teenie Weenie Million Dollar Beach Bungalow

It’s official…in San Francisco a million bucks barely buys you an (almost on the beach) beach bungalow…actually you need $1,050,000…and depending on what size waves you’re thinking of surfing at the most popular surf spot north of San Diego, you’ll want to consider ultra custom space-saving racks.

In case you’re wondering, it was listed at $699,000. It is close enough to catch the blowing Springtime Sand, so I guess you can call it a “beach bungalow”.

Surf is not up this weekend in San Francisco (Surprise!), but surely you know a friend with a boat. Happy Memorial Day weekend!

Top 20 Overbids, Underbids, and so much more, right here on The Goods.

3434 Rivera, Street, San Francisco [Property Detail Page]

2170 Jackson St

Pacific Heights Co-Op Asks $4.2M Gets $3.8M, And Those Views…

Some things just never get old (like me), and some things never go out of style, like 2170 Jackson #3, which clinched this week’s top spot on our Underbid list by selling 10.59% under it’s $4,250,000 asking price at a cool $3,800,000.


I can hear you all gasping either sighs of relief, gasps of ahhh, or whispers of “what would it be like”…Regardless, amazing property, amazing location, and hats off to all involved, underbid or not.

As for the rest:
Top 10 Underbids, San Francisco

Address BR BA Parking List Price Sold Price Underbid
2170 Jackson Street #3 4 3.50 1 $4,250,000 $3,800,000 -10.59 %
347 Santa Ana Ave 6 3.25 2 $2,495,000 $2,250,000 -9.82 %
240 Flournoy Street 3 1.00 1 $550,000 $500,000 -9.09 %
881 Lombard Street N/A N/A 1 $1,800,000 $1,639,547 -8.91 %
338 Spear Street 2 2.00 1 $2,850,000 $2,600,000 -8.77 %
333 Diamond Street 3 2.00 2 $1,899,000 $1,750,000 -7.85 %
3354 20th Street 3 3.00 1 $2,395,000 $2,225,000 -7.10 %
159 Dublin Street 3 1.00 1 $689,900 $650,000 -5.78 %
330 Twin Peaks Blvd 3 2.50 2 $1,799,000 $1,700,000 -5.50 %
733-743 Waller St N/A N/A N/A $3,850,000 $3,656,250 -5.03 %

This is a very telling list, and a very good sampling of citywide deals that go unreported to you and your friends. There are deals to be had, you must simply be persistent and keep at it. This is an amazing City, and I’m betting it’s just going to keep getting better and better.

Have a great day!

3876Clay

Top 10 Underbids | A Medley Of Sorts

When I peruse these top 10 Overbid and Underbid lists that we crank out at The Goods for all of our clients (myself included), I often sit and wonder what is more of a story:


A) The ultra modern residence at 748 Treat that clinched this week’s top Underbid spot by selling for nearly 7% below asking (not much of a story here),
B) The big ticket sale at 3876 Clay, which, although sold for under asking, still sold for $1300+ per square foot (I vividly remember the days we started seeing $1000/square foot on the radar, which now seems like a distant memory),
C) What you get for under $700,000 in San Francisco in the single family home category, or
D) How when we live in small spaces that are insanely expensive some of us are forced to store our “wine cellar” next to our shoes.

Regardless, it’s all good information, provides you some insight into the market, your neighborhood, San Francisco, and what you have to do to get your foot in our Real Estate door, or that now might be a great time for you to get out. Food for thought, on a weekly basis…

Top 10 Underbids San Francisco

Address BR BA Parking List Price Sold Price Underbid
748 Treat Avenue 4 3.50 1 $2,199,000 $2,050,000 -6.78 %
326 Noriega Street 4 3.00 1 $1,475,000 $1,400,000 -5.08 %
3876 Clay Street 4 2.50 2 $4,175,000 $4,035,000 -3.35 %
2107 16th Avenue 2 2.00 1 $930,000 $900,000 -3.23 %
3305 Broderick Street 3 3.50 1 $3,150,000 $3,050,000 -3.17 %
68 McCoppin Street 1 1.00 1 $749,000 $728,000 -2.80 %
1750 Taylor Street 2 2.00 1 $2,695,000 $2,627,625 -2.50 %
8 Buchanan Street 2 2.00 1 $1,155,000 $1,130,000 -2.16 %
718 Joost Avenue 1 1.00 0 $695,000 $680,000 -2.16 %
355 Grove Street 5+ unit 5+ unit 1 $5,988,000 $5,860,000 -2.14 %

Have a great day!

227547thave

Maximum Overbid Of The Week | Outer Parkside

It had to be the lion blanket, because apparently the original $1,099,000 list price wasn’t enough to entice the frenzy. So what happened? Price reduced to $995,000, and look at that…sold for $1,225,000. In case you missed that, that’s higher than the previous list price two short months prior, at which this home was unable to find a buyer. Some things in life simply make no sense.

Anyhow, here are the Top 10 Overbids for the past week in San Francisco

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2275 47th Avenue 4/2.50/N/A 88 $995,000 $1,225,000 23.12%
1655 48th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 14 $629,000 $762,000 21.14%
471 23rd Avenue 2/1.00/6 33 $688,000 $810,000 17.73%
988 Fulton Street 1/1.00/326 60 $474,000 $555,000 17.09%
1055 Mason Street N/A/N/A/19 18 $5,000,000 $5,800,000 16.00%
149 Laidley 3/2.00/N/A 25 $1,695,000 $1,950,000 15.04%
2908 Fulton Street 2914 2-4 Units 49 $1,290,000 $1,473,000 14.19%
448 Gold Mine Drive 4/3.00/N/A 12 $1,395,000 $1,558,000 11.68%
2130 12th Avenue 2/2.00/N/A 52 $899,000 $1,000,000 11.23%
30 Otsego Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,199,000 $1,300,000 8.42%

Have a great weekend!

mansion1

$2,000,000 Under Asking In Pacific Heights…Actually $1,925,000 But Who’s Counting

If that $200,000 underbid from a few weeks ago seems like a good deal to you, have a look at this seven bedroom Pacific Heights Single Family home at 2660 Scott (you must click that link…the pictures are amazing), which was listed in September at $15,000,000 and closed last week at $13,075,000. Almost $2,000,000 under asking.
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Considering the home only last sold in 2004 for just shy of $6,000,000 I’d say the sellers are pretty thrilled (keeping in mind we don’t know how much they sunk into it, of course). IMHO the home was worth every penny of $15,000,000, so the buyers should be thrilled too. It’s a trophy home, and I’m totally jealous, as should be all of you.
2660scott
As for the rest of our weekly underbids. Here you go…the top 10 Underbids of the week.

Address BR/BA/Units List Price Sold Price Underbid
2660 Scott Street 7/7/6 $15,000,000 $13,075,000 -12.83 %
814-816 Cole 2-4 Units $1,990,000 $1,775,000 -10.80 %
1374 Union Street 3/3.5/2 $3,350,000 $3,000,000 -10.45 %
184 London Street 3/1/0 $574,000 $520,000 -9.41 %
365 Magellan Avenue 5/3.5/2 $2,520,000 $2,350,000 -6.75 %
601 Van Ness Avenue 2/2/1 $879,000 $825,000 -6.14 %
595 Waller Street 3/2/0 $1,300,000 $1,225,000 -5.77 %
2445 Polk Street 2/2/1 $1,450,000 $1,371,150 -5.44 %
3515 Washington Street 2/2/2 $3,995,000 $3,800,000 -4.88 %
580 Prentiss Street 2/1/1 $998,000 $950,000 -4.81 %

As always, I share all of this wonderful data with you in real time on several sources:
1. The Goods
2. sfnewsletter (sign up at sfnewsletter.com)
3. theFrontSteps.com

Get this stuff bookmarked, sign up to receive via email, follow me on Facebook, Twitter @theFrontSteps, LinkedIn. Do what you gotta do to get yourself educated on our market.

And have a great day.

2660 Scott, Property Detail Page

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San Francisco | December 2015 Real Estate Market Update

San Francisco Real Estate Report, December 2015 Market Update.
– Heading into the Holiday Slowdown after an Interesting Autumn Market
– Median home prices, over-bidding, housing affordability, luxury home sales, the new-home construction pipeline, and comparing the Shanghai and S&P 500 stock indices

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Median sales prices in October and November jumped back up to levels similar to the spring peak selling season. It’s important to remember that median prices are not a perfect reflection of changes in fair market value: They often fluctuate due to seasonal inventory and buyer-profile trends, as well as issues such as an influx of new-construction listings. It is the longer-term trend that is most meaningful – however we can say with confidence that there was clearly no significant “crash” in prices this past autumn.

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One indication of the heat of the market is the extent to which sales prices are bid up over asking prices. As is not untypical, the market becomes less competitive in November as it heads into the winter holidays. Still, an average sales price 6% over asking price would be considered crazy-hot in any other market in the country (though one also has to adjust for the fact that serious underpricing has become a not uncommon listing strategy in the SF market).

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This chart based on S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index data illustrates the seasonality of home price appreciation in the past 4 years: surging in our feverish spring selling seasons, and then generally plateauing through the rest of the year. Note that Case-Shiller looks at home prices in a totally different way than median sales price trends, and probably reflects changes in fair market value more accurately. Case-Shiller Index numbers refer back to a January 2000 value of 100, thus the current Index reading for higher-priced Bay Area homes of 217 signifies home prices 117% above January 2000.

As we enter the winter holiday market slowdown, the next real indication of the direction of the market will come in the first quarter of 2016. Will spring 2016 repeat the overheated, high demand/ low supply frenzies of previous springs or has the market finally reached a longer term plateau or even an affordability inflection point? We shall soon know more.

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In 2015 YTD, the dominant price segment for home sales in San Francisco was $1,000,000 to $1,499,000. As seen in the first chart above, the median sales prices for both condos and houses fall within this range. Note the change from just two years ago.

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San Francisco Luxury Home Market

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The high-end home market is the most seasonal segment in the city (as well as the most sensitive to sudden, large, negative movements in the financial markets). Market activity starts to plunge in November, hits its nadir in December, begins to pick up in the first quarter and then usually hits its peak in spring. Much of the center of gravity in the luxury market has been shifting in recent years from the city’s prestige northern neighborhoods to other districts of the city, such as the greater Noe Valley area and the South Beach/Yerba Buena district. This is not to say that the northern districts are not still both very expensive and considered highly desirable, and the greater Pacific Heights area still dominates the market for the most expensive houses in the city, i.e. those selling for $5m and more.

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After the semi-hysteria – already half forgotten – that erupted in late August and September regarding the Chinese stock market and its impact on the U.S. stock market and economy, and possibly the Bay Area housing market, we thought it interesting to take a look back at how it has played out so far.

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It is widely expected that the Fed will raise interest rates in December, probably by some minimal increment, but for the time being, as of the first week of December, rates have remained below 4%.

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In November, we issued two mini-reports, one on Bay Area housing affordability and another on San Francisco new housing construction. Below are the featured charts:

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I’ll continue to keep an eye on things for you, if you continue to read it.

Expect much lighter than usual blogging for the rest of the year, and don’t be surprised if theFrontSteps goes under construction.

Contact me today for a free property valuation, or to get you set up on my buyer system.