3610 Washington | William Wurster

William Wurster Mid-Century Masterpiece Sells for $11,300,000 | Pacific Heights

It’s not everyday a home sells for $3,800,000 above asking…actually in San Francisco we hardly bat an eye at this anymore, especially when paired with buzzwords #PacificHeights and #MidCentury. It also helps to be an extremely rare property in a one of a kind location:

William Wurster Masterpiece with timeless mid-century contemporary design. The unique home with wonderful public rooms boasts sweeping Bay & Golden Gate Views and a Sheltered South facing Tommy Church Garden. 4 Bedrooms + library. 4 Baths. 2 Half Baths. 4 Fireplaces.Garage.Carport.Entry reveals a beautiful private garden & covered breezeway leading to the front door. The Reception Foyer looks to the Bay & features Wurster signature staircase. Elevator, Coat Closet, Powder Room. Grand LR is well-integrated with garden. Large formal DR looks out to GG Bridge. Kitchen flows to breakfast room. Guest suite & family room. Upstairs Central Hall opens to South Deck. Master suite & Library have Expansive Bay Views. 2 more beds with en-suite baths

Listed at $7,500,000
Sold for $11,300,000
$2,000 per square foot

1078yorkfront

Inner Mission Victorian Fixer Sells $320,000 Over List | In Knoxville That Buys You This…

Not to be outdone by any of the fixers clinching the top spot on a few of our previous top 10 Overbids1078-80 York, a two unit in San Francisco’s hot, hotter, hottest Inner Mission District, just closed for only $320,000 over ask.


(People around the world scratching their heads thinking, “Is this guy nuts? I could buy an entire house (maybe in Knoxville) for what this person just paid over asking on this piece o’ hooey property that doesn’t even have a kitchen!?”) Yessir, it’s what many would call a “dump”, but not us, and it actually has two kitchens…granted they don’t work, but this property right here is a diamond in the rough and we’d go so far as to say this buyer scored a great property at a very fair price, in a very hot location, location, location.

As for the rest of the top 10, here you go:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
1078 York Street 80 2-4 Units 7 $995,000 $1,315,000 32.16%
1751 La Salle Avenue 5/1.50/N/A 60 $625,000 $805,000 28.80%
361 Texas Street 3/2.00/N/A 15 $1,795,000 $2,300,000 28.13%
1015 Ashbury Street 2/2.00/2 8 $1,095,000 $1,350,000 23.29%
1444 17th Avenue 2/2.50/101 5 $1,299,000 $1,600,000 23.17%
149 Shipley Street 3/2.00/ 9 $988,000 $1,180,000 19.43%
3919 17th Street 1/1.00/ 0 $895,000 $1,065,000 18.99%
79 Seward Street 3/2.00/N/A 6 $1,995,000 $2,350,000 17.79%
2919 Pacific Avenue 2/2.00/6 8 $1,249,000 $1,457,000 16.65%
2932 26th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 14 $1,425,000 $1,650,000 15.79%

To wrap this week up, the market is shifting. All signs point to this being a fantastic time to sell your property, and we are experts at doing just that. Give us a shout and we’ll git ‘er done.

1078-80 York, Inner Mission District [The Goods]
More market data than you could ever want [The Goods]
709 Loop Rd, Knoxville, TN [Redfin]
Information for sellers [theFrontSteps]

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San Francisco Condominium Real Estate Apprecation since 2011

The information below is provided by Paragon Real Estate Group, enjoy:

In the last 5 years, San Francisco real estate market rebounded and went crazy hot, but how much did it really appreciate? Below is a great analysis from Paragon that shows you the data using median sales price. This post is specific to condominiums, the next post is specific to houses appreciation.

Median sales price is a very general statistic, often concealing an enormous variety of values in the underlying individual sales. It can be and often is affected by other factors besides changes in fair market value, such as changes in the inventory available to purchase, and major changes in the distressed property, luxury home, or new condo construction segments. Sometimes median prices fluctuate without any great significance: substantially different groups of homes (larger, smaller, older, newer, etc.) simply sold in different periods. Assessing appreciation by changes in dollar per square foot values, instead of by median sales prices, can sometimes deliver significantly different appreciation rates.

Below the charts is a table with a more comprehensive list of San Francisco neighborhoods, and at the bottom of the page is a neighborhood map.

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The neighborhoods on the table below are grouped by San Francisco Realtor District, some of which contain neighborhoods of relatively similar values and some with highly variable home values.

Generally speaking, the higher the number of sales, the more reliable the statistics: We’ve usually calculated appreciation rates for neighborhoods with at least 24 sales in 2015, but these should still be considered very approximate.

An asterisk signifies a very low a number of annual sales and/or our suspicion that the appreciation calculation would not reflect market reality due to the variety of issues pertaining in the area. New, high-price condo projects can make sudden, dramatic impacts on neighborhood median sales prices in the year they go on market. In 2011, median sales prices in some areas were badly distorted by distressed property sales (bank and short sales) that didn’t represent fair market values. If either of these situations applies, the 4-year appreciation rate will jump higher in that neighborhood.

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020610

020611

sfmap

If you, or anyone you know, are looking to buy or sell San Francisco real estate, take a look at my track record, happy clients, and generally awesome listings and let’s get you sorted.

sf-decorators-showcase-rob-j-photos53

San Francisco Single Family Real Estate Appreciation since 2011

The information below is provided by Paragon Real Estate Group, enjoy:

In the last 5 years, San Francisco real estate market rebounded and went crazy hot, but how much did it really appreciate? Below is a great analysis from Paragon that shows you the data using median sales price. This post is specific to houses, the next post is specific to condominiums appreciation.

Median sales price is a very general statistic, often concealing an enormous variety of values in the underlying individual sales. It can be and often is affected by other factors besides changes in fair market value, such as changes in the inventory available to purchase, and major changes in the distressed property, luxury home, or new home construction segments. Sometimes median prices fluctuate without any great significance: substantially different groups of homes (larger, smaller, older, newer, etc.) simply sold in different periods. Assessing appreciation by changes in dollar per square foot values, instead of by median sales prices, can sometimes deliver significantly different appreciation rates.

Below the charts is a table with a more comprehensive list of San Francisco neighborhoods, and at the bottom of the page is a neighborhood map.

020601

020602

The neighborhoods on the table below are grouped by San Francisco Realtor District, some of which contain neighborhoods of relatively similar values and some with highly variable home values.

Generally speaking, the higher the number of sales, the more reliable the statistics: We’ve usually calculated appreciation rates for neighborhoods with at least 24 sales in 2015, but these should still be considered very approximate.

An asterisk signifies a very low a number of annual sales and/or our suspicion that the appreciation calculation would not reflect market reality due to the variety of issues pertaining in the area. In 2011, median sales prices in some areas, especially in the southern border neighborhoods of the city, were badly distorted by distressed property sales (bank and short sales) that didn’t represent fair market values. If this situation applies, the 4-year appreciation rate will jump higher in that neighborhood.

020606

020603

020604

020605

sfmap

As is always the case, if you have any questions about the market don’t hesitate to ask.

If you, or anyone you know, are looking to buy or sell San Francisco real estate, take a look at my track record, happy clients, and generally awesome listings and let’s get you sorted.

Screen Shot 2016-01-18 at 12.44.47 PM

Underbids All Over The Map | San Francisco

Did you miss the Top 10 Overbids last week? Don’t worry, SFGate has em posted, but since it’s Monday (well it was yesterday), we like to bring you the weekly top 10 Underbids. Sounds like SFGate might recap them there too, so keep your eyes peeled.

The top dogs are a variety this time around. Locations are spread out – Western Addition, Bayview, Nob hill, Telegraph Hill, Marina, Pacific Heights, Inner Mission, Cow Hollow, and Noe Valley. Sizes range from a 232 square foot micro studio condo, which sold for $390,000 (don’t get too excited, that’s nearly $1700/sqft), to a 5590 square foot 5 bedroom mansion, which sold for only $1500/sqft (don’t get too excited here either, that’s $8.4M). There’s even a commercial unit in the mix, that fetched “only” $430/sqft (we ain’t talking apples to apples to the above.)

Just goes to show, in real estate, particularly in San Francisco it’s all about location, location, location…and pricing, marketing, presentation, and timing.

Regardless, have a great work week. Enjoy the top 10, stay dry, and pray for more rain/snow.

Address BR/BA/Units List Price Sold Price Underbid
1406 Golden Gate Avenue 3/2/0 $1,399,000 $1,200,000 -14.22 %
1311-1313 Palou 2-4 Units $995,000 $875,000 -12.06 %
1300 Pacific Avenue 0/2/0 $468,000 $425,000 -9.19 %
412 Green Street #A 0/1/0 $425,000 $390,000 -8.24 %
3315 Pierce Street 3/3.5/3 $2,699,000 $2,500,000 -7.37 %
2470 Broadway 5/4.5/2 $6,995,000 $6,500,000 -7.08 %
1326 Utah Street 2-4 Units $1,289,000 $1,200,000 -6.90 %
33 Perine Place 2/2/1 $1,500,000 $1,400,000 -6.67 %
2828 Divisadero Street 5/5.5/2 $8,995,000 $8,400,000 -6.61 %
425 28th Street 3/2/1 $1,695,000 $1,588,888 -6.26 %

theFrontSteps Overbids on SFGate [SF Gate, San Francisco Chronicle Online]

mansion1

$2,000,000 Under Asking In Pacific Heights…Actually $1,925,000 But Who’s Counting

If that $200,000 underbid from a few weeks ago seems like a good deal to you, have a look at this seven bedroom Pacific Heights Single Family home at 2660 Scott (you must click that link…the pictures are amazing), which was listed in September at $15,000,000 and closed last week at $13,075,000. Almost $2,000,000 under asking.
mansion2
Considering the home only last sold in 2004 for just shy of $6,000,000 I’d say the sellers are pretty thrilled (keeping in mind we don’t know how much they sunk into it, of course). IMHO the home was worth every penny of $15,000,000, so the buyers should be thrilled too. It’s a trophy home, and I’m totally jealous, as should be all of you.
2660scott
As for the rest of our weekly underbids. Here you go…the top 10 Underbids of the week.

Address BR/BA/Units List Price Sold Price Underbid
2660 Scott Street 7/7/6 $15,000,000 $13,075,000 -12.83 %
814-816 Cole 2-4 Units $1,990,000 $1,775,000 -10.80 %
1374 Union Street 3/3.5/2 $3,350,000 $3,000,000 -10.45 %
184 London Street 3/1/0 $574,000 $520,000 -9.41 %
365 Magellan Avenue 5/3.5/2 $2,520,000 $2,350,000 -6.75 %
601 Van Ness Avenue 2/2/1 $879,000 $825,000 -6.14 %
595 Waller Street 3/2/0 $1,300,000 $1,225,000 -5.77 %
2445 Polk Street 2/2/1 $1,450,000 $1,371,150 -5.44 %
3515 Washington Street 2/2/2 $3,995,000 $3,800,000 -4.88 %
580 Prentiss Street 2/1/1 $998,000 $950,000 -4.81 %

As always, I share all of this wonderful data with you in real time on several sources:
1. The Goods
2. sfnewsletter (sign up at sfnewsletter.com)
3. theFrontSteps.com

Get this stuff bookmarked, sign up to receive via email, follow me on Facebook, Twitter @theFrontSteps, LinkedIn. Do what you gotta do to get yourself educated on our market.

And have a great day.

2660 Scott, Property Detail Page

1333 Jones St., Nob Hill San Francisco

13% Under Asking In Nob Hill | That’s An Audi R8

Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving! I know I did. Back to the grind…

With the grind comes daily ganders at all things San Francisco real estate, and today is no exception. Check out this this Nob Hill Co-op apartment at 1333 Jones topping our weekly list of underbids (because they do exist).
1333jones

Listed just under $1.5M and sold for $1.3M… that’s gotta put a smile on your face. The $200,000 savings can put an Audi R8 in your garage (it is holiday season after all), or your kids through San Francisco pre-school (go with the R8). :-)

Hey look! Two other full service bachelor pads also sold under asking recently: one at the Four Seasons and the other at the Ritz Carlton. Underbid by about 8% after being on market for 339 and 227 days respectively. Wowza…

Anywho…the weekly top 10 list of Underbids for your Monday viewing pleasure:

Address BR/BA/Units List Price Sold Price Underbid
1333 Jones #801 1/1.5/1 $1,495,000 $1,300,000 -13.04 %
2955 Pacific Avenue 3/2/1 $4,100,000 $3,650,000 -10.98 %
2535 Vallejo Street 3/3.75/2 $6,275,000 $5,600,000 -10.76 %
956 South Van Ness 4/3.5/2 $2,995,000 $2,674,000 -10.72 %
3283 25th Street 2-4 Units $1,788,000 $1,615,000 -9.68 %
765 Market Street #27B 1/1.5/0 $1,550,000 $1,415,000 -8.71 %
690 Market Street 1/2/1 $1,150,000 $1,050,000 -8.70 %
3236 Scott Street 5+ Units $2,450,000 $2,250,000 -8.16 %
825 Rhode Island Street 4/3.5/1 $1,895,000 $1,750,000 -7.65 %
1069 Capp Street 5+ Units $1,799,000 $1,675,000 -6.89 %
2955pacific

Pacific Heights Condo Goes 11% Under | Elevator Ensures Minimal Neighbor Contact

Last week it was this Bernal Heights home that went 20% under asking, thus claiming the podium position. The winner this week is an ultra-deluxe condo in one of the most sought-after neighborhoods on the “North End” of town, Pacific Heights. This home at 2955 Pacific has views, a deck, a formal dining room perfect for Thanksgiving (maybe a 9 lb. Turkey and 6 guests, instead of the 16 lb. Turkey you’re envisioning), and even an elevator that takes you from garage to your unit, so you never have to see your politically incorrect neighbors that love to corner you into a discussion (or lecture) about why their candidate is best suited to occupy the White House.

Listed for $4.1M and sold for $3.65, what a bargain…and those red chairs are so great…ornot.
redchair

As for the top 10 Underbid list, here you go:

Address BR/BA/Units List Price Sold Price Underbid
2955 Pacific Avenue 3/2/1 $4,100,000 $3,650,000 -10.98 %
622-626 Buchanan Street 2-4 Units $1,399,000 $1,250,000 -10.65 %
3283 25th Street 2-4 Units $1,788,000 $1,615,000 -9.68 %
765 Market Street 1/1.5/0 $1,550,000 $1,415,000 -8.71 %
2340 29th Avenue 4/2/3 $1,299,000 $1,190,000 -8.39 %
265 Minerva Street 2/1/1 $699,999 $659,000 -5.86 %
570-572 6th Avenue 2-4 Units $1,800,000 $1,700,000 -5.56 %
1052 Rhode Island Street 3/1/1 $899,000 $850,000 -5.45 %
313 2nd Avenue 2/1/1 $789,000 $749,000 -5.07 %
886 30th Avenue 2/2.5/1 $1,450,000 $1,380,000 -4.83 %

This data is pulled from properties sold within the past two weeks. To get this type of stuff sent to your inbox, sign up for sfnewsletter at sfnewsletter.com. I send it roughly every other week.

(Keep in mind the properties we feature go into contract, usually have an escrow period, then close…When we post that a property “goes” we’re referring to the day it actually is SOLD, not the day it goes into contract.)

04-alex-clark-portrait-citybg-2x3I wish you all a wonderful Thanksgiving Holiday filled with good food, good cheer, friends, family, football, skiing, surfing, no drama, no accidents, no injuries, tasty cocktails, cold beer, and old expensive delicious red wine. Happy Thanksgiving! Thank you all for your continued readership, loyalty, referrals, and business. It has been a great year, and it’s still not over (I have a great off market single family home in Cole Valley should you be interested.)

2317 Webster

Maximum Overbids Step Aside…Meet The Underbids

For nearly a decade (maybe more), I’ve blogged about overbids. It’s tiring. It’s time for something new. Last week I mentioned condo prices dropping 3% from August to September, and I’m not saying the market is crashing, but you should be aware that not EVERYTHING sells over asking, including the oh-so-rare single-family home.

That’s right, out of the top 10 underbids of the week, 7 are single-family homes. A Pacific Heights home listed at $3,250,000 and sold for $2,825,000 a whopping 40 days later. What a score, and what an amazingly beautiful property in an awesome location. I’m jealous.

Address Type BR/BA/Units List Price Sold Price Underbid
2317 Webster Street Single-Family Homes 4/2.5/3 $3,250,000 $2,825,000 -13.08 % 239 Broad Street Single-Family Homes 0/1/0 $899,000 $800,000 -11.01 % 100 Delano Avenue Single-Family Homes 6/3/3 $1,300,000 $1,160,000 -10.77 % 651 4th Avenue 653 2-4 Units N/A $1,500,000 $1,400,000 -6.67 % 3808 Clay Street Single-Family Homes 4/2.5/2 $4,500,000 $4,200,000 -6.67 % 601 4th Street Condo/Coop/TIC/Loft 1/1/1 $1,499,000 $1,400,000 -6.60 % 929 Cayuga Avenue Single-Family Homes 5/4/3 $1,105,000 $1,035,000 -6.33 % 2829 Green Street Single-Family Homes 5/5.5/2 $9,600,000 $9,000,000 -6.25 % 301 Mission Street Condo/Coop/TIC/Loft 2/3/1 $4,495,000 $4,250,000 -5.45 % 2676 Great Highway Single-Family Homes 3/1/1 $957,050 $911,000 -4.81 %

Check back next Monday and market your calendars, as I hope to bring you more Underbids more regularly.

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San Francisco Real Estate Market Mid-Year Report

Home Price Appreciation Rates; Prices, Cost & Affordability;
Dollar per Square Foot; Interest Rates; Sales Price to List Price Ratio

Bay Area Appreciation Rates since 2011
Combined House & Condo Median Sales Prices

BayArea-Median-Price-Increases_2011-2015YTD_by-County

Besides the general economic recovery, there are other factors in different counties affecting home price increases over the past 4 years: 1) the huge decline in distressed property sales in those counties severely affected during the downturn (such as Solano, Contra Costa & Alameda), 2) the dramatic surge in luxury home sales (such as in SF, San Mateo & Marin), 3) increasing luxury condo construction (SF), and 4) the effect of the high-tech boom in employment and wealth, which radiates out from San Francisco and Silicon Valley.

The higher priced counties, led by San Francisco and San Mateo, saw the largest dollar increases in median prices since 2011 – $400,000 to $500,000 – but counties rebounding from the distressed property crisis often experienced the biggest percentage jumps. The city of Oakland, benefiting from both the decline in distressed sales and being the closest, most affordable option to high San Francisco housing prices saw by far the largest percentage increase: 133%.

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San Francisco Appreciation Rates by Neighborhood

Note that median prices within the city are also affected by a variety of factors beyond simple increases in fair market value.

SF House Appreciation Rates in Dollars & Percentages

2011-2015_SF-Median-House-Price-Appreciation_Dollars

2011-2015_SF-Median-House-Price-Percentage-Appreciation

We’re almost positive that we recommended that everyone buy at least one median-priced Pacific Heights mansion in 2011 at the bargain-basement price of $3,225,000. If you had followed this (imaginary) advice, your home would have appreciated by $2.77 million. However, on a pure return on investment basis, you would have done better to snap up a few median-priced houses in the Mission, which appreciated by an incredible 143%. It should be noted that both of these neighborhoods have comparatively few house sales as compared to, say, the Sunset or Bernal Heights. Low supply is often one factor in high appreciation rates.

SF Condo Appreciation Rates in Dollars & Percentages

2011-2015_SF-Median-Condo-Price-Appreciation_Dollars

2011-2015_SF-Median-Condo-Price-Percentage-Appreciation

For condos, Russian Hill led the way in dollar median price appreciation and Yerba Buena was tops in percentage price increase since the bottom of the market in 2011.

Over the past 4 years, houses have appreciated a bit more than condos in the city, 81% to 73%, and that is probably due to the fact that houses are becoming the scarcer commodity: While thousands of new condos are now being built each year, new house construction can usually be counted on 2 or 3 hands.

For prevailing SF median house and condo prices, our interactive map of neighborhood values can be found here:SF Neighborhood Home-Price Map

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Average Dollar per Square Foot Values
by San Francisco Neighborhood

7-15_House_AvgDolSqFt_by-SF-Neighborhood

7-15_Condo_AvgDolSqFt_by-SF-Neighborhood

Increasing average dollar per square foot values have been breaking records in neighborhoods throughout San Francisco for the last 2 years. Some of the surge in condo values is explained by the many recently built luxury condo projects – which have been selling at premium dollar per square foot prices – that have been sprouting up around the city.

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San Francisco Luxury Home Sales

Q2-2015_SF-Luxury-Home-Sales_by_Qtr

Sales of higher-end houses and condos have been soaring in the city and hit by far their highest number ever in the second quarter. Big jumps in expensive home sales are an important factor behind increases in the overall median sales price.

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Appreciation, Cost & Affordability

Short-Term Median Price Appreciation (since 2012)

Median_SFD-Condo_by-Qtr_Short-term

Long-Term Median Price Appreciation (since 1993)

Median-Price_Sep-SF-SFD-Cndo_1993-Present_V2

Inflation & Interested Rate-Adjusted Housing Cost (since 1993)

1993-Present_SF-PITI-Cost_Inflation-Adjusted

The short-term and long-term appreciation charts above are self-explanatory. The Home Cost Trends chart reflects a very approximate calculation of monthly home payment costs (principal, interest, property tax and insurance) adjusted for inflation – i.e. in 1993 dollars – using annual median house sales prices, average annual 30-year interest rates, and assuming a 20% downpayment. The average annual compounding CPI inflation rate fluctuated, but averaged approximately 2.4% over the period, and average annual mortgage rates fluctuated from 8.4% to 3.7% (see chart further below), which had a huge impact on financing costs.

Adjusting for inflation and interest rate changes means that though the median sales price is now far above that of 2007, the monthly housing cost is still a little bit below then. This isn’t a perfect apples-to-apples comparison because it doesn’t take into account that the amount of the 20% downpayment increased significantly over the time period. Still, since ongoing cost is typically an important factor for homebuyers (at least those getting financing), this affords another angle on our market.

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Mortgage Interest Rate Trends

1993-Present_30-Year_Interest-Rates_Comp

Over the last 4 years, the big decline in interest rates has largely subsidized the increase in home prices.

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Price Reductions, Sales Prices to List Prices,
and Days on Market

Q2-15_SP-OP_DOM_by-Price-Reduction

In the 2nd quarter, the vast majority of SF home sales sold without prior price reductions; these sold very quickly, at an astounding average of 14.5% over the original list price – clear indications of a white-hot market. For the past 4 years, spring has been by far the most frenzied selling season of the year, and the market usually cools in summer.

There you have it.

Recent Transactions [Alexander Clark]