Linea

8 Buchanan #612 (Linea) | Mid-Market | $1,325,000 | Not On MLS

Designed and built by world renowned Architect Bernardo Fort-Brescia and Architectonica in 2014, Linea provides luxury living in the heart-center of San Francisco. Enjoy breathtaking panoramic views from your living room, sip coffee in the morning sun, and experience the vibrancy that is living on the edge of Hayes Valley, Mission Dolores, Castro, Lower Haight, Duboce Triangle, and Mid-Market districts.

With walls of glass framed by bold, geometric pillars, this building was designed to impress, and impress it does. Unit 612 features two bedrooms, one bath, 1107 square feet of open floor plan, natural hardwood floors, Bertazzoni gas range, Liebherr refrigerator, polished quartz countertops, high end Italian kitchen cabinets, under cabinet LED lighting, Kohler and Grohe fixtures, stackable washer & dryer, Nest thermostat, custom closets (walk-in), central heating and air conditioning, and the piece de resistance…parking.

The elegant, expansive, attended lobby is finished with porcelain tile floors, natural white-oak wood panels and Italian marble highlights. An interior courtyard with lush plantings and greenery creates a serene interior view, and the rooftop terrace has multiple areas for entertaining and enjoying the city lights (if you don’t get enough of them from the comfort of unit 612).

Linea was born from the imagination of world-renowned architect Bernardo Fort-Brescia as a way to bring a forward-thinking aesthetic to those who appreciate true modern design, so we invite you to come appreciate.

Property Details
$1,325,000
NOT ON MLS
2 beds
1 bath
1 parking
1107 square feet
Hardwood Floors
Panoramic Views
Bertazzoni Range
Liebherr Refrigerator
Italian Cabinets
Stackable W&D
Quartz Countertops
Kohler and Grohe Fixtures
Nest Thermostat
Air Conditioning
HOA Dues: $654/mo
Building wired for 400Mbps+ Webpass Internet

Showing Schedule
Private Showings by Request

Exclusively listed by
Alexander Clark
Keller Williams Luxury Realty International
theFrontSteps.com
alexclark@gmail.com
415-254-5351

Contact Alex Clark for more details and to schedule a showing.

[This above video is from the original new construction marketing, as well as the three building renderings]

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San Francisco Market Report

Britain’s June vote to exit the EU has already had an impact on the market in the US, including here in San Francisco. Mortgage rates have dropped almost a quarter of a percent, making the monthly payments on our pricey housing slightly more affordable. The result is that it will support continuing increases in sales prices, as decreases in interest rates always do. For example, a $1,000,000 loan at 3.75% costs $4,631/month, but at 3.5% you can borrow $1,032,000 for the same monthly payment. And monthly payments are what buyers focus on.

The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco published its upbeat Economic Forecast in June which indicated continued strong job and economic growth, continued low business and mortgage interest rates (this was published prior to the vote in Britain), coupled with historically low unemployment and inflation below the Fed’s target of 2%. The conclusion is that they see Gross Domestic Product growth around 2% for the year, at a “pace consistent with moderate ongoing expansion, which we expect to continue over the next few years.”

Of interest was their findings about the cause of the lower labor force participation rates that have been occurring since 2001 that have been noted by many previous reports. It turns out that because of the considerable shift in the wage gains during this time period to the higher income households, that these households have fewer multiple earners. On the opposite end of the spectrum, lower wage earners continue to need multiple earners to make ends meet.

The Fed report hypothesizes that this is a shift that the upper-income households have made in the work-life balance and that the workforce participation in this group may remain low. It is also mimicked by the young workers in upper-income households, where labor force participation is also significantly lower than in the general population.

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San Francisco Single Family Home median prices have been hovering between $1,352,000 and $1,380,000 for the past four months since peaking at $1,400,000 in February 2016. That was the second time median prices had hit that number, first back in May of 2015. With the drop in interest rates, we could break through that median price soon because that drop from 3.75% to 3.5% finances another $45,000 in the loan amount for the same monthly payment.

The Condo/Loft Median Sales Price hit an all time high of $1,180,000 in June 2016, up 4.9% from June 2015.

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Resale Condos-Lofts jumped 59% in both Days on Market and Months Supply of Inventory compared to June 2015, but both are still in strong sellers market territory.

Single Family Homes are up slightly in Days on Market from 16 to 20 both for May to June, 2016 and from June 2015 to June 2016. Months Supply of Inventory dropped from 2.3 in May to 1.9 in June 2016 and was also down from June 2015’s 2 months. Both market indicators continue to show a strong sellers market.

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Single Family Homes New Listings dropped by 55 from May to June 2016. It was also off 61 compared to June 2015. Of additional continuing importance is that the year-to-date number of new listings is down 60 from year-to-date 2015, a 4.1% decline. This helps explain why Months Supply of Inventory is lower than last year.

Resale Condos/Lofts had the reverse trend, with 1 more new listing on the market in June than May, 2016, and 27 more new listings in June 2016 than June 2015. And, significantly, year-to-date new listings are up 167 over year-to-date 2015, which represents a 10.3% increase in inventory. This helps explain why Months Supply of Inventory and Days on Market has risen sharply for Resale Condo/Lofts.

No Mass Exit from San Francisco on the Horizon

At last month’s SFARMLS Building Boom forum, the Bay Area Council presented its latest poll of Bay Area residents, and said that the results show that a third of Bay Area residents “are likely to bolt the region in the next few years”. In truth, that is a big overstatement of the poll results.

What the poll actually asked for was a response to: “I am likely to move out of the Bay Area in the next few years.” What people answered was: 13% said they strongly agree with that statement and 21% said they somewhat agree.

That is certainly not a third of the residents saying they are likely to “bolt” in the next few years. Exactly where would they go? Jobs are here, families are here, the great weather is here. There’s a reason our population is growing – this is a fabulous place to work and live, in spite of high prices and congestion.

Box Factory Lofts

2169 Folsom M202 | Allied Box Factory Lofts | Mission District | $1,375,000

From your first look at the exterior of the historic Allied Box Factory, to the time you stroll through the lush courtyard to this one of a kind Live/Work loft, you will be in awe…

Originally built in 1907 as a timber factory, the Allied Box Factory was converted to a mixed-use development in 2001 with the intent of fostering a creative community. Of the Allied Box Factory’s 31 spaces, 15 of them are live/work condominiums, eight of the building’s non-residential units are used as creative studios, and six house commercial enterprises.

Situated on the second floor, unit M202 has recently been transformed from cool to ultra cool with the complete remodel of the kitchen/living/dining area that creates an ambiance second to none. Entertain guests in your modern, open kitchen complete with a 5 burner Thermador range, grey Caesarstone Countertops, Custom Walnut Cabinets, Carrera Marble Island (with seating), Thermador Dishwasher, GE Monogram Refrigerator, and original bar lighting from the previous owner, famous artist Rex Ray.

A combination of hardwood and concrete flooring with large exposed timber and open ceilings is certain to capture your attention. Extend your living area by opening the doors to your large outdoor PRIVATE patio with room for seating, dining, gardening, and of course barbecuing. Enjoy the warm weather the Inner Mission provides, soak in the city vibes and rooftop views, and live the San Francisco dream.

Not only does this amazing unit feature a completely remodeled kitchen, a designer bedroom with custom closets, hardwood floors throughout, a designer bathroom with custom mosaic tiling, washer & dryer, and deeded parking, but also a completely separate bedroom/office/studio across the hall. This room also contains gorgeous wood floors, original windows, tons of natural light from the courtyard, and is ideal for the live/work lifestyle so many of us strive to achieve.

Listing Details:
$1,375,000
2 bed
1 bath
1 car parking
Remodeled Designer Kitchen
Carrera Marble Island
Caesarstone Countertops
Custom Walnut Cabinets
Thermador Range
Private Patio
W&D
Hardwood & Concrete Floors
HOA Dues: $437.96/mo + approx $40/50/mo for common utilities
Prime Inner Mission Location
*Live/Work loft. Certain restrictions/stipulations may apply. Buyer is advised to investigate

Showing Schedule:
Private Showings Upon Request

Exclusively listed by:
Alexander Clark
Keller Williams Luxury Realty International
theFrontSteps.com
alexclark@gmail.com
415-254-5351

District 5

May 2016 Central San Francisco Market Conditions

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District 5’s (See SF Districts Map Here) April numbers continue their strong upwards trend with their highest ever median sales price of $2,287,500. Year-over-year, the median price is up 8.9%.

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Resale Condo/Loft Median Prices

Resale condo-loft median prices have resumed the downward trend that started last September with a brief uptick in January and February. hey dropped 2.3% from March to April, landing at $1,245,000, which is the lowest median sales price since April 2015. They are down 0.4% year-to-date and 9.6% since their peak at $1,377,000 September 2015.

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While Single Family Homes Days on Market inched up to 17 in April, they are still at historically low numbers.

Days on Market for Resale Condo/Lofts dropped from 19 to 16.

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Single Family Homes Months Supply of Inventory dropped slightly to 2.4 from March’s 2.5 and up from April, 2015’s 1.7.

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This April there were the same number of single family home listings as in April, 2015. Over all, there have been 136 new listings in District 5 this year, one fewer than last year.

There have been 43 fewer condo/loft listings brought on the market year-to-date in 2016 than 2015. This is a 26% drop. And this is the first time in four years that the number of new condo/loft listings was lower in April than March.

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May 2016 Market Report | San Francisco

We saw first quarter median Single Family Home prices in San Francisco jump with their biggest percentage increase (5.6%) in a decade, and in April’s numbers continue this strong upwards trend. The median price in San Francisco was $1,380,000 in April, the highest ever, and a 4.5% increase over March (yikes!).

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Resale Condo/Loft Median Prices

Resale condo-loft median prices reversed their first quarter downward trend and went up 2.2% to end at a tie with the previous high median price of $1,125,000, back in June 2015. They are up 1.5% year-to-date.

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Both the single family homes and resale condo-loft days on market inched up in April, moving from 16 to 21 days for homes and 21 to 27 days for condos.

This compares to April, 2015’s 14 days and 18 days. So, up a bit from March and up a bit from April, 2015, but still incredibly low days on market.

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Single family homes months supply of inventory is up slightly to 2.3 from March’s 2.2 and a little above April, 2015’s 1.8.

Likewise, for resale condo/lofts, months supply inched up to 2.6 and over last years’ 1.7. It is the fourth consecutive months of rising inventory, something to be watched, but still a strong seller’s market.

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In April 2016, there were 15 more single family homes listed for sale than a year ago, and this was the first month this year to exceed the number of listings in 2015. We are still down slightly, 1.5%, in the number of new listings homes year-to-date over 2015.

Resale condo-lofts also saw fewer new listings in April 2016 than in 2015, however, overall there have been more new condo/loft listings in 2016 than in 2015, a rise of 6.7%. This helps explain the longer Days on Market and higher months of inventory.

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The best way to get answers to any questions you have about our market or timing a successful sale…contact me.

underbid

Golden Gate Heights Fixer Sells $455,000 Under Asking, But Still $1.9M

Hey! We’re back. What a great vacation (in Hawaii), and great to see even when I’m surfing, you’re all still browsing. So, on with the show…

Monday was a travel day, so Tuesday is all about the Underbid, and this week a sweet little fixer with amazing carpeting, staging, painting, and lighting (Oh yeah, there is a view too) wins top honors by selling $455,000 BELOW asking (yes, it happens).


It’s a shocker, I know, and I know you can hardly believe your eyes to read that properties sell UNDER asking in San Francisco, but they do, especially when ridiculously over-priced like this one. Regardless, it’s still a fixer for $1.9M, so who are we to judge…

As for the rest, here you go.

Top 10 Underbids San Francisco

Address BR BA Parking List Price Sold Price Underbid
1879 Funston Avenue 4 3.50 2 $2,365,000 $1,910,000 -19.24 %
301 Mission Street 3 3.50 1 $3,999,000 $3,500,000 -12.48 %
41 Rico Way 4 4.00 1 $4,000,000 $3,650,000 -8.75 %
252 9th Street 1 1.00 0 $826,000 $767,000 -7.14 %
3468 17th Street 3 1.00 1 $1,599,000 $1,500,000 -6.19 %
1770 Quint Street 3 2.00 2 $910,000 $865,000 -4.95 %
655 Corbett Avenue 1 1.00 1 $730,000 $700,000 -4.11 %
132 Coleridge Street 134 N/A N/A 0 $2,155,000 $2,075,000 -3.71 %
3305 Broderick Street 3 3.50 1 $3,150,000 $3,050,000 -3.17 %
435 China Basin Street 2 2.00 1 $1,399,000 $1,355,000 -3.15 %

To get this list (and more), delivered to your inbox on an almost regular basis, you might want to sign up for my newsletter: sfnewsletter.com

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New Construction Condo Prices Up, Resale Condo Prices Down

SAN FRANCISCO NEW CONSTRUCTION CONDOMINIUM PRICES DECLINED 1 PERCENT FROM PREVIOUS MONTH, UP 2 PERCENT FROM A YEAR AGO. RESALES PRICES DECLINED 10% FROM PREVIOUS MONTH, DOWN 6 PERCENT FROM A YEAR AGO.

Though San Francisco pricing dropped for the fifth consecutive month, contract absorption at new developments indicates that the 2016 selling season is well-underway. Closed sales during February and March are expected to reflect strong market conditions with high demand. Several new developments are expected to commence sales soon, positioned to take advantage of the traditionally robust spring months. According to The Mark Company Trend Sheet.

New condominiums inventory level remains low. There are approximately 655 new condominiums for sale in San Francisco. This includes 450 Hayes (11 units in contract and 25 units available) and LuXe in Pacific Heights (13 units in contract and 21 units available), both sales commenced during the fourth quarter of 2015.

Prices for resale condominiums continued to decline to an average of $889 per-square-foot, falling 10 percent compared to December 2015 ad 6% compared to one year ago. Despite the decrease, the number of resales is trending downward, falling 51% since last month, and 16% year-over-year.

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The Mark Company is a leading urban residential marketing and sales firm.

The Condominium Pricing Index, part of the firm’s monthly Trend Sheet (available at http://www.themarkcompany.com), is the tool for tracking the value of a new construction condominium without the volatility of inventory changes.
The Condominium Pricing Index uses a proprietary quantitative method to model the price per square foot of a new 10th floor, 1,000 SF condominium.

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Maximum Underbid | Russian Hill Property Wins | List $3.2M, Sold $2.6M

Closed on the last day of 2015 was this 3 bedroom Russian Hill condominium with dramatic views. Listed for just shy of $3.2M and sold 18% under asking, at $2.6M, it takes top spot on the top 10 Podium Underbids of the week for San Francisco.

Interesting to note is that out of the top 10 underbids that closed in the past two weeks, 7 of them are condos and 3 of them are single-family homes (That’s R.E. 101 in college…supply/demand).

And here are the rest.

Happy New Year everyone!

Address BR/BA/Units List Price Sold Price Underbid
1070 Green Street #1402 3/2.5/1 $3,195,000 $2,600,000 -18.62 %
151 Everglade Drive 3/3/2 $1,599,000 $1,400,000 -12.45 %
68 Landers Street 2/2/1 $1,499,000 $1,315,000 -12.27 %
400 Beale Street #1407 2/2/1 $1,150,000 $1,053,000 -8.43 %
3315 Pierce Street 3/3.5/3 $2,699,000 $2,500,000 -7.37 %
33 Perine Place 2/2/1 $1,500,000 $1,400,000 -6.67 %
425 28th Street 3/2/1 $1,695,000 $1,588,888 -6.26 %
355 1st Street 2/2/1 $1,595,000 $1,500,000 -5.96 %
739 48th Avenue 3/2/1 $995,000 $945,000 -5.03 %
1760 Ofarrell Street San Francisco, CA 94115 2/2/1 $879,000 $835,000 -5.01 %
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San Francisco | December 2015 Real Estate Market Update

San Francisco Real Estate Report, December 2015 Market Update.
– Heading into the Holiday Slowdown after an Interesting Autumn Market
– Median home prices, over-bidding, housing affordability, luxury home sales, the new-home construction pipeline, and comparing the Shanghai and S&P 500 stock indices

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Median sales prices in October and November jumped back up to levels similar to the spring peak selling season. It’s important to remember that median prices are not a perfect reflection of changes in fair market value: They often fluctuate due to seasonal inventory and buyer-profile trends, as well as issues such as an influx of new-construction listings. It is the longer-term trend that is most meaningful – however we can say with confidence that there was clearly no significant “crash” in prices this past autumn.

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One indication of the heat of the market is the extent to which sales prices are bid up over asking prices. As is not untypical, the market becomes less competitive in November as it heads into the winter holidays. Still, an average sales price 6% over asking price would be considered crazy-hot in any other market in the country (though one also has to adjust for the fact that serious underpricing has become a not uncommon listing strategy in the SF market).

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This chart based on S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index data illustrates the seasonality of home price appreciation in the past 4 years: surging in our feverish spring selling seasons, and then generally plateauing through the rest of the year. Note that Case-Shiller looks at home prices in a totally different way than median sales price trends, and probably reflects changes in fair market value more accurately. Case-Shiller Index numbers refer back to a January 2000 value of 100, thus the current Index reading for higher-priced Bay Area homes of 217 signifies home prices 117% above January 2000.

As we enter the winter holiday market slowdown, the next real indication of the direction of the market will come in the first quarter of 2016. Will spring 2016 repeat the overheated, high demand/ low supply frenzies of previous springs or has the market finally reached a longer term plateau or even an affordability inflection point? We shall soon know more.

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In 2015 YTD, the dominant price segment for home sales in San Francisco was $1,000,000 to $1,499,000. As seen in the first chart above, the median sales prices for both condos and houses fall within this range. Note the change from just two years ago.

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San Francisco Luxury Home Market

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The high-end home market is the most seasonal segment in the city (as well as the most sensitive to sudden, large, negative movements in the financial markets). Market activity starts to plunge in November, hits its nadir in December, begins to pick up in the first quarter and then usually hits its peak in spring. Much of the center of gravity in the luxury market has been shifting in recent years from the city’s prestige northern neighborhoods to other districts of the city, such as the greater Noe Valley area and the South Beach/Yerba Buena district. This is not to say that the northern districts are not still both very expensive and considered highly desirable, and the greater Pacific Heights area still dominates the market for the most expensive houses in the city, i.e. those selling for $5m and more.

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After the semi-hysteria – already half forgotten – that erupted in late August and September regarding the Chinese stock market and its impact on the U.S. stock market and economy, and possibly the Bay Area housing market, we thought it interesting to take a look back at how it has played out so far.

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It is widely expected that the Fed will raise interest rates in December, probably by some minimal increment, but for the time being, as of the first week of December, rates have remained below 4%.

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In November, we issued two mini-reports, one on Bay Area housing affordability and another on San Francisco new housing construction. Below are the featured charts:

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I’ll continue to keep an eye on things for you, if you continue to read it.

Expect much lighter than usual blogging for the rest of the year, and don’t be surprised if theFrontSteps goes under construction.

Contact me today for a free property valuation, or to get you set up on my buyer system.