Might As Well Just Price Homes At $1

Pricing a Single Family Home… in Bernal Heights… on a hot street… at $899,000? Come on!

Well, you get the top spot on this week’s Top 10 Overbids, and the buyer gets some sweet a$$ green carpet, a vintage kitchen, and linoleum floors for the ages…

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
257 Crescent Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 13 $899,000 $1,500,000 66.85%
2527 42nd Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,095,000 $1,646,000 50.32%
92 Santa Marina Street 2/2.00/N/A 19 $1,149,000 $1,711,000 48.91%
422 Vernon Street 2/1.00/N/A 12 $895,000 $1,320,000 47.49%
255 Dellbrook Avenue 2/2.00/N/A 14 $998,000 $1,437,000 43.99%
3945 23rd Street 2/1.00/N/A 7 $1,295,000 $1,850,000 42.86%
2510 24th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,380,000 38.69%
163 Dorchester Way 4/2.00/N/A 11 $1,695,000 $2,302,000 35.81%
727 16th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,275,000 $1,705,000 33.73%
2224 Lawton Street 2/1.00/N/A 18 $1,085,000 $1,450,000 33.64%

The rest of you just get to marvel at San Francisco’s insatiable demand for single family homes…and a good weekend to go ski, surf, cycle, golf, or any of the countless activities living in California affords.

Happy Aloha Friday!

Tight Inventory, Top 10 Overbids, and 7 Off Market Listings

Currently, there are exactly 167 Single Family Homes for sale in the entire city of San Francisco…from the Marina District down to Visitacion Valley. Of those, only 42 hit the market in the last week, and some have actually been on the market more than 30 days (I call them Stalefish, and that’s where you might – just might – find a “deal”). But mostly, we’re a city still starving for single family homes, and they are literally flying off the shelf. Condos in desirable areas are about the same, but I’m not going there right now.

What does this mean? It means competition is fierce, multiple offers are commonplace, and Overbidding is still not anywhere near done. Have a look at this week’s top 10 Overbids. Keep in mind, this is only the top 10, if you want to see more, follow this link to more recent sales.

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2662 40th Avenue 4/2.00/N/A 9 $995,000 $1,550,000 55.78%
157 College Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 14 $949,888 $1,450,000 52.65%
1415 11th Avenue 2-4 Units 15 $995,000 $1,500,000 50.75%
1734 27th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,480,000 48.74%
439 Greenwich Street 0/1.00/17 7 $488,000 $720,000 47.54%
1090 Page Street 2/1.00/1 7 $899,000 $1,305,000 45.16%
1706 17th Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 10 $1,195,000 $1,715,000 43.51%
1933 Ulloa Street 3/1.00/N/A 13 $949,000 $1,335,000 40.67%
368 17th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 13 $1,295,000 $1,810,000 39.77%
945 Corbett Avenue 1/1.00/107 7 $699,000 $975,000 39.48%

All of this said, if you’re losing out, I have several listings coming to market, and a couple we’ll sell off market:
Single Family home on Cabrillo at 36th
Single Family home on 46th at Balboa with Ocean Views
Single Family home near Alta Mar in Sutro Heights with Ocean Views
Condo near the Great Highway with Ocean Views
Condo on Frederick in Cole Valley with Valley views
Condo on Page near Upper Haight
Empty lot in Russian Hill ready to build

So…I’ll do my part to get some inventory for you, but in the meantime marvel at those Overbids, have a good weekend, and enjoy this Summer weather!

Happy Aloha Friday

Maximum Overbid of the Week | West Portal 2 Bed Gets 42% Above Asking

We can talk about under-pricing all day long, but the fact is buyers keep taking prices higher and higher, and the last time I checked, inventory remains crazy low. Open house traffic to pretty much any single family home in the city remains brisk (borderline mob scene), and condos in great locations are just about the same, so a major tide swing in our market still remains only a topic of speculation, and definitely not reality.

So here you go…the Top 10 Overbids for San Francisco:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
89 Forest Side Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 22 $1,168,000 $1,656,000 41.78%
2583 45th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 12 $949,000 $1,330,000 40.15%
2082 36th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 8 $1,100,000 $1,430,000 30.00%
4779 18th Street 4881 2-4 Units 14 $995,000 $1,250,000 25.63%
38 Bitting 3/2.00/N/A 5 $849,000 $1,050,000 23.67%
1001 Pine Street 0/1.00/1212 20 $499,000 $605,000 21.24%
40 Nadell Court 4/2.00/N/A 16 $849,900 $999,000 17.54%
3324 Scott Street 3326 2-4 Units 0 $3,000,000 $3,500,000 16.67%
2479 Diamond Street 5/3.00/N/A 122 $1,799,000 $2,025,000 12.56%
190 8th Avenue N/A/N/A/7 17 $2,850,000 $3,165,000 11.05%

Definitely a couple stunners on that list, and many that are no surprise (at least to me).

Have a great weekend! Pray for more snow. That last storm was a total tease.

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$682,000 Over Asking in the Outer Sunset to End the Year

You thought I was going to let you finish out the year without one final Overbid stunner, didn’t you? I actually tried, but then it didn’t snow (Supreme Leader says it’s cold, so Global Warming is not a real thing), so I was left with a choice of skiing man-made ice, or sit down and share these jaw-dropping overbids with you. I chose the latter, if that tells you anything about the quality of skiing up around Tahoe these days. Pray for snow!

Anyhow…It’s important to note, many of these homes hit the market at what is traditionally the slowest time of year for San Francisco real estate, the Holidays, yet still had enough interest to drive the price to the moon. Case in point, the #1 Overbid at 1623 43rd Ave, listing for $998,000 (some would argue a bit low), but selling for a staggering $1,680,000! Forget about the overbid amount, and focus on the final sales price…that’s damn near $1.7M for a basic Outer Sunset home…the Sunset…the place nobody ever wanted to be, and now it’s the hottest neighborhood in the city. Maybe all these hipster surfers are on to something. ;-)

So you’re thinking this property is just a one-off…not so. Look at the #2 Overbid at 840 Kansas, a fixer in Potrero Hill selling for $1,629,000…or 49% above their list price.

Before any of you nay-sayers spending too much time “plugged in” to other sites get all bent out of shape about us Realtors constantly touting overbids, stop for a minute and look at the underlying price per square foot on both of those sales $1153/sqft in the Outer Sunset and $1398/sqft in Potrero Hill.

Since this is my last post of 2017, let me dig a little deeper into those numbers for you. My quick calculations and MLS sales search shows in all of 2016, there was exactly one sale in the Outer Sunset over $1.6M, the average sales price was $1,095,578, and the average price per square foot was $801. Fast forward to the same search for 2017, there are seven sales over $1.6M, average sales price is now $1,229,376, and the average price per square foot is now $902. That is just single family home sales for the Outer Sunset. If you want Potrero Hill numbers, you’ll have to contact me. I’m going surfing right now.

Here are the top 10 Overbids to finish out 2017…

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
1623 43rd Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $998,000 $1,680,000 68.34%
840 Kansas Street 2/1.00/N/A 22 $1,095,000 $1,629,000 48.77%
131 Peru Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $749,000 $1,105,000 47.53%
253 Sussex Street 2/1.00/N/A 11 $899,000 $1,300,000 44.61%
355 Winding Way 3/1.00/N/A 47 $828,000 $1,063,000 28.38%
260 King Street 1/1.50/657 15 $720,000 $900,777 25.11%
108 Sagamore Street 110 2/1.25/N/A 40 $819,000 $1,005,000 22.71%
251 De Long Street 2/1.00/N/A 12 $699,000 $788,000 12.73%
150 Saturn Street 3/2.00/ 11 $1,499,000 $1,675,000 11.74%
5160 Diamond Heights Boulevard 1/1.00/307C 35 $650,000 $725,000 11.54%

As always, the rest of this great data (Overbids, Underbids, Recent Sales, New Listings, and more) can be found on The Goods.

I wish all of you a safe and Happy New Year! Here’s to 2018, tons of snow, and me helping ALL of you sell your SF properties so you can take the cash, retire, and live your dreams.

Ciao, au-revoir, adios, auf wiedersehen 2017! See you all next year.

217 Single Family Homes For Sale In San Francisco … Right Now … That’s It

In the past 7 days, there have been only 23 single family homes come on the market in ALL of San Francisco…16 of those homes hit the market today. Total, there are currently only 217 single family homes “active” for sale in ALL of San Francisco, a city of around 865,000 permanent residents.

There are currently 217 people looking for a single family in the Outer Sunset alone!

Chew on that for your weekend commute.

Happy Aloha Friday, here are your top 10 Overbids:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
436 Valley Street 3/1.00/N/A 12 $1,195,000 $1,821,300 52.41%
387 Silver Avenue 389 2-4 Units 16 $999,000 $1,520,000 52.15%
4388 23rd Street 1/1.00/N/A 7 $749,000 $1,065,000 42.19%
208 Banks Street 2/2.00/N/A 10 $1,195,000 $1,620,000 35.56%
1622 35th Avenue 5/2.00/N/A 13 $1,349,000 $1,825,000 35.29%
771 Teresita 2/1.00/N/A 16 $1,088,000 $1,470,000 35.11%
2 Seal Rock Drive 2/1.00/N/A 12 $895,000 $1,200,000 34.08%
703 San Bruno Avenue 4/2.00/N/A 16 $1,495,000 $2,000,000 33.78%
647 28th Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 17 $899,000 $1,200,000 33.48%
1282 18th Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 4 $1,350,000 $1,800,000 33.33%

Prosst!

Just Shy of $1,000,000 OVER Asking…and Nine Other Overbid Head Spinners

It’s kind of like an “own-goal” in Soccer (Internationally referred to as Football)…sometimes you just gotta put your head down and accept the disbelief…

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids, with 1 Miguel on top selling just shy of a staggering $1,000,000 over asking:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
1 Miguel Street 3/2.50/N/A 2 $1,675,000 $2,600,000 55.22%
2306 41st Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 12 $799,000 $1,155,000 44.56%
106 Edna Street 3/2.00/N/A 15 $1,098,000 $1,575,000 43.44%
275 London Street 3/2.00/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,415,000 42.21%
263 Duncan 2/1.50/ 7 $1,149,000 $1,600,000 39.25%
350 Joost Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 7 $799,000 $1,100,000 37.67%
248 Elsie Street 2/1.00/N/A 12 $1,095,000 $1,480,000 35.16%
18 Abbey Street 2/1.00/ 10 $950,000 $1,275,000 34.21%
104 Marview Way 3/1.00/N/A 14 $985,000 $1,320,000 34.01%
1717 Alabama Street 3/2.00/N/A 8 $1,550,000 $2,060,000 32.90%

In case you missed that “DOM” on 1 Miguel, it’s a 2, as in two days on the market.

Have a great weekend. Come visit me at 740 Clayton and take a look at this one-of-a-kind property before it’s gone.

Maximum Overbids of the Week | Top 10

Multiple properties still selling 30% plus over asking, all over San Francisco…

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
114 Congo Street 2/2.00/N/A 12 $859,000 $1,285,000 49.59%
1571 31st Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 15 $938,000 $1,365,000 45.52%
2454 30th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 9 $995,000 $1,427,000 43.42%
2169 26th Avenue 4/2.50/N/A 0 $1,495,000 $2,100,000 40.47%
1665 17th Avenue 3/2.50/N/A 14 $1,395,000 $1,950,000 39.78%
1812 Silver Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 32 $588,000 $820,000 39.46%
218 Miguel Street 3/2.00/N/A 8 $1,795,000 $2,400,000 33.70%
331 Vernon Street 3/2.00/N/A 14 $1,025,000 $1,367,000 33.37%
1370 28th Avenue 4/3.50/N/A 40 $1,399,000 $1,830,000 30.81%
325 Teddy Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 14 $619,000 $805,000 30.05%

Not enough time on my hands to get into details today, but from the looks of this list, you can tell the West is still going strong. All of these prices are in line with comps, and at some point list prices will start to catch up with realistic sales prices.

Still a great time to be a seller. I have a great big home/property coming soon on Clayton Street, so stay tuned for that. And as always, give me a shout when it’s time for you or your neighbors to sell.

Have a great weekend!

No Real Surprise: Homes Still Selling Way Over Asking

It’s Friday! You made it to the end of the week, and if you’re like me, you made it to the beginning of the school year. Although, I will say, entertaining those kids of mine is a helluva lot more fun than sending emails and blogging…but I’m not complaining.

Anyway, you made it to Friday, so that means Overbids…

Since it’s been nearly a month since my last post, I figured I’d give you the top 20 for the past 14 days, rather than the top 10.

No real surprises on this list. Everything selling right about where it should, and properties priced according to San Francisco tradition it seems (low). It’s the name of the game, and it works well, so you might as well play it.

That’s it. Have a great weekend. Expect our inventory to pick up dramatically in a couple weeks, so keep your eyes on all the hot new listings, and recent sales, and check back for more consistent and detailed market reports once the Summer doldrums are over.

Happy Aloha Friday.

-The Goods

San Francisco Real Estate’s Top 10 Overbids Week Ending 5/19/17

I know it’s hard to top the blog I just posted about the letters from buyers’ children to sellers, but it is Friday after all, and I know you like your Overbids, so here you go…

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2654 15th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 10 $995,000 $1,625,000 63.32%
1234 5th Avenue 4/1.25/N/A 13 $1,749,000 $2,600,000 48.66%
619 22nd Avenue 2/1.25/N/A 4 $995,000 $1,450,000 45.73%
1675 29th Avenue 3/1.25/N/A 15 $995,000 $1,440,000 44.72%
533 Vicente Street 2/1.00/N/A 12 $1,159,000 $1,610,000 38.91%
56 Majestic Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 14 $899,000 $1,180,000 31.26%
1237 Chestnut Street 2/1.00/5 11 $999,000 $1,300,000 30.13%
945 Teresita Boulevard 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,145,000 $1,470,000 28.38%
780 Pacheco Street 3/2.00/N/A 12 $1,295,000 $1,655,000 27.80%
144 Putnam Street 3/1.00/N/A 12 $1,045,000 $1,333,144 27.57%

It’s Bay to Breakers weekend…as you might already know. Have fun, be safe, duck for cover, and watch out for low dangling objects that are best not to be seen in public!

See you next week, and don’t forget to follow theFrontSteps so you don’t miss a beat.

Buyers Look to Their Children’s Art & Writing Skills to Get Offers Accepted [theFrontSteps]

The List That Just Won’t Quit | San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids Of The Week

To say the Richmond District single family home market is hot right now is a wee little understatement. It’s white hot.

Overbid of $712,000 aside, it’s another $1100 per square foot sale in an area of town previously undiscovered and overlooked. I guess the secret is out

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
571 20th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 12 $1,388,000 $2,100,000 51.30%
1463 40th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 14 $899,000 $1,350,000 50.17%
844 Detroit Street 3/1.00/N/A 22 $899,000 $1,300,000 44.61%
171 Ledyard Street 2/2.00/N/A 11 $599,000 $850,000 41.90%
340 Benton Avenue 3/2.50/ 15 $829,000 $1,142,500 37.82%
1523 26th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 17 $998,000 $1,375,000 37.78%
3030 Rivera Street 3/2.00/N/A 12 $899,000 $1,235,000 37.37%
4045 Ocean Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 10 $1,195,000 $1,622,000 35.73%
849 44th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 10 $1,049,000 $1,410,000 34.41%
74 Winfield Street 76 2-4 Units 29 $995,000 $1,320,000 32.66%

Special mention to my listing at 849 44th Ave that barely made it to the list even as nuts as our situation there was!

These lists are very “real-time”, and a good indication of pockets of our market. For a broader look at the San Francisco market I continually refer people to my favorite resource in Patrick Carlisle at Paragon Real Estate:
30+ Years of San Francisco Real Estate Cycles
Preliminary Indications of Direction of the San Francisco 2017 Market

Have a great weekend! It’s gonna be a cracker, so get out and enjoy.

Five days later and $361,000 Over, 849 44th Ave Sets New Record Price Per Square Foot in the Outer Richmond [theFrontSteps]