I’m Seeing Green | Maximum Overbids Of The Week

It’s that lucky green grass…

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids Week Ending 3/17/17

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2259 44th Avenue 2/2.00/N/A 16 $895,000 $1,250,000 39.66%
28 Harry Street 3/2.00/N/A 12 $995,000 $1,350,000 35.68%
1847 43rd Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 2 $899,000 $1,200,000 33.48%
435 West Portal Avenue 4/4.00/N/A 8 $1,695,000 $2,250,000 32.74%
1231 30th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 6 $995,000 $1,300,000 30.65%
111 Santa Paula Avenue 4/3.50/N/A 13 $1,995,000 $2,600,000 30.33%
51 Fairfield Way 2/1.00/N/A 13 $999,000 $1,248,750 25.00%
321 Bridgeview Drive 3/1.25/N/A 12 $599,000 $748,000 24.87%
521 2nd Avenue 3/2.50/ 12 $1,595,000 $1,975,000 23.82%
68 Rosenkranz Street 3/2.00/N/A 8 $1,650,000 $2,006,000 21.58%

For a look at the top 20 Overbids and Underbids (in 14 day tally), as well as New Listings and Recent Sales, check out The Goods

Otherwise, Happy St. Patrick’s Day (by all accounts an Immigrant), and pinch me when you see me, because I can’t believe I own absolutely zero green items of clothing.

Top 10 Overbids | San Francisco Week Ending 3/10/17

This week’s top 10 list of mind-bending overbids looks like a tour around the world – Cambridge, Greenwich, Jersey, Munich. Alas we’re still in San Francisco, Dorothy.

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
657 Cambridge Street 3/2.00/N/A 20 $950,000 $1,300,000 36.84%
2643 Greenwich Street 2645 2-4 Units 7 $1,595,000 $2,100,000 31.66%
1494 42nd Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 12 $788,000 $1,036,000 31.47%
431 Jersey 3/1.50/N/A 10 $1,795,000 $2,225,000 23.96%
829 Cole Street 2/2.00/ 9 $1,299,000 $1,610,000 23.94%
563 Munich Street 2/1.00/N/A 13 $799,000 $985,000 23.28%
945 Capp Street 2/1.00/4 13 $898,000 $1,100,000 22.49%
4106 20th Street 3/2.00/N/A 0 $1,750,000 $2,137,500 22.14%
218 Grafton Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 34 $625,000 $762,000 21.92%
26 Caine Avenue 4/3.00/N/A 12 $799,000 $970,000 21.40%

I say “mind-bending” mostly because it is still alarming our market works so incredibly efficiently by generally under-pricing properties to let buyers take it to market value, and it’s worked this way for the better part of a decade. By all accounts 99% of every overbid appraises at value when it comes time to get a loan. So don’t think every buyer is paying more than what a property is worth, just to win. They aren’t. They’re paying market value…in most cases. There are outliers, for sure, but for the most part, just because it’s an overbid, doesn’t mean it is overvalued.

As always, for a list of the top 20 Overbids, Top 20 Underbids, Recent Sales, New Listings, and Stalefish, check out my Market Tracker at www.thegoods-sf.com/theFrontSteps. Important to note, the Goods runs a 14 day tally, my tally here is on a 7 day cycle, so there will be some slight variations.

Thinking about selling your property to cash in and get out on top? I’d be happy to help. Just give me a shout.

The $2,005,000 Fixer | Noe Valley

I was in the process of compiling this week’s list of top 10 Overbids, but couldn’t help to just share this one nutty overbid with you instead…350 Jersey, in the heart-center of Noe Valley, is a “Spacious fixer-upper single-family home, circa 1941

Only in San Francisco do those words get you damn near $1500 per square foot, and over $2,000,000 for a FIXER!

As you can see from the marketing remarks, not only did they get 17 offers (let that sink in), but this place went from a $1,295,000 list price to a $2,005,000 sales price. In case you need more numbers, that’s 54.83% over asking or $710,000 cherries on top. Cash, no less. I’m gonna say it again…for a fixer.

Well, it is San Francisco after all, and it’s pretty effing awesome living here, so get used to it.

Thinking the tide will turn? It will, at some point, but have a look at this “Maximum Overbid of the week” I shared on sfnewsletter (the precedent of theFrontSteps) September 24, 2004…yes I’ve been doing Overbids THAT long (let that sink in too).

64 Prentiss St. in Bernal Heights (Bud, pay attention!). 3 bed, 1 bath, 1 car parking fixer that apparently came with the adjacent lot. Probate sale as well. Asking $599,000, sold for $855,000. Here’s a link to the property description

So there you have it…a little bit of mind-boggling real estate porn to get you through the weekend. As always, if you need more, The Goods has your top 20 Overbids, and Underbids, as well as all of the hot new listings, recent sales, and properties still on the market after 30 days. It’s a tremendous source of information.

Enjoy the weekend!

No Electrical, But You Get Plywood For Windows…And $339,000 Over List

As I sit here on a short lived break from showing my incredibly popular Outer Richmond listing, and consoling my buyers, who just lost out on 2319 47th Ave to an (apparently) $1,200,000 pre-emptive offer, I got to wondering…what’s it take to be the Maximum Overbid these days.

Apparently, all it takes is some plywood in the windows, and the most attractive of descriptions:

This home has no electricity and needs major work. All cash sale needed due to condition of property. No electrical…

100florentineside
Epic!
100 Florentine, Crocker Amazon

There is a lot of talk of the San Francisco market having cooled. Maybe in some parts of town, but definitely not the Outer Avenues, and other parts of town where you can still get a single family under $1.5M. Buy those single family homes, charming condos, and well located multi-unit buildings while you can, because if the recent sales in San Francisco featured on The Goods are any indication, San Francisco is still firing on all cylinders.

Have a great weekend. Skiing should be very nice. Surf…not so much. In SF anyway.

652 44th Ave, $1,195,000 [theFrontSteps listing]
100 Florentine [the Goods]
Top 20 Overbids [the Goods]

Marina / Cow Hollow Property Gets $1,200,000 More Than Asking

If you haven’t noticed, posts on this here site have been sporadic to say the least, and will remain so for the rest of the year. That said, I couldn’t help but share this Cow Hollow/Marina District property at 1959 Lombard that just closed for $1,200,000 over the list price!
lombard

For you Commercial geeks, the cap rate on this bad boy is a 2.69%! And “long-term” tenants mean 1 of 2 things…potential to increase rents, or potential to increase headaches. Regardless, somebody saw great value in this building (as they should), and IMHO should be thrilled.

Underpriced? Probably. But let’s consider the larger market logic that compels someone to not only list a property more than one million dollars below market value (when you just don’t know you gotta price it low), but the psychology as an agent that must convince a buyer to offer $1,200,000 MORE than what the seller is “asking”, and the buyer that has to come to grips with that reality.

I’ve been in this game for nearly 15 years now, been through two monstrous peaks and subsequent declines, and some things just haven’t changed…namely San Francisco has long been a premier destination to call home, start a business, raise a family, and invest in real estate. Surrounded by water on three sides, heavily restricted on vertical development, and historical preservation, it’s just that tough to get your hands on some choice San Francisco property.

Pray for snow! Dream of surf. Enjoy the day.

The Goods: Real-Time market data for my clients

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Real Estate Porn For The People…

Who came down with a heavy case of the Mondays…and Tuesdays, Wednesdays, Thursdays, and Fridays? I did. Right here.


I know you all want the great real estate porn that got you on this site in the first place, but I’ve been busy, so I figured I’d make your life, and my life, easier…here you go: Check out The Goods, it’s all new, super sleek, works great on your mobile device, and has all of the same great data you’ve come to love (minus my snarky comments).

Want Top 20 Overbids…all there, all the time. Start to notice things like 135 Webster, finally dethroned by 572 Funston.

Want Top 20 Underbids…got those too. Marvel at places like (239 Arletta in Visitacion Valley, which sold for 20% BELOW list…wait for it…at $480,000 to clinch top spot on the Underbids. That’s a $600,000 home selling for $480,000 and the address on the post card to mom will read “San Francisco, CA”.

Looking for Hot New Listings. Gotcha covered there too. No need to wait for me to tell you about what just hit the market in your ‘hood. Grab properties like 164 Belvedere (drooling) and immediately share with your friends to plan your dinner parties when they buy it!

The Holy Grail…Recent Sales…got those too. I was the first in San Francisco to provide this valuable data to my clients on a regular basis, so why should I stop. Such an easy way to track what’s going on in your ‘hood without my annoying phone calls, texts, and emails to remind you how much you love me.

My buyers’ favorite…Stalefish…had to tone this down for the masses and call em 30+, but this is my site, and dammit if I don’t like calling them Stalefish better. A Stalefish is a property 30 DOM* or More…and would you believe 149 29th St is BOM*. For the record just cuz it’s Stale, doesn’t mean it stinks!

So there you have it. Now you don’t need me to update you as often. You want the Goods, you get the Goods. Spread the word.

Fellow agents…we are now offering my service of The Goods to you…your branding, your look, your site…update your people with the same great data. Contact us at info@thegoods-sf.com or nate@thegoods-sf.com to get your pages set up and start sharing this wonderful real estate market information with your people.

*BOM = Back On Market
*DOM = Days On Market
*Duh!

Outer Parkside Gem Claims Top Spot On Weekly Overbids

Usually, I’m posting the top 10 Overbids on Fridays, and Underbids on Mondays, but sometimes the planets get out of orbit, tides rise too high, and I have my own listings and buyers to tend to. But when I come up for air, I always like to enlighten you all with a little bit of jaw-dropping real estate porn to take you through the week, and today is no exception. Have a look at 2063 41st Ave, in San Francisco’s Outer Parkside district:


It came blazing on the market just after Labor Day at a seemingly bargain price of $599,000 (for comparison, here are ALL recent sales under $600,000 in SF), one bidding frenzy later, and this buyer just landed an epic fixer for $820,000…time to bust out the Coleman camping gear (including stove), and enjoy your Ocean View.

As for the rest…here you go, the Top 10 Overbids closed in the past 7 days in San Francisco (take note…they’re getting more mellow as our market cools):

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2063 41st Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 14 $599,000 $820,000 36.89%
771 41st Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,150,000 $1,420,000 23.48%
21 Seal Rock Drive 3/2.00/N/A 11 $1,295,000 $1,575,000 21.62%
1830 Mason Street 2/2.50/ 10 $1,095,000 $1,305,000 19.18%
354 Maynard Street 2/1.00/N/A 43 $699,000 $830,000 18.74%
3011 20th Street 2/2.00/2 13 $1,095,000 $1,300,000 18.72%
3943 21st Street 3/2.50/N/A 12 $1,895,000 $2,200,000 16.09%
14 White Street 2/1.00/N/A 17 $1,388,800 $1,608,889 15.85%
342 Faxon Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 28 $838,000 $968,000 15.51%
1365 16th Avenue 2/1.00/ 17 $1,095,000 $1,250,000 14.16%

¡Que Rico! | $681,000 Over Asking For A Tear Down | ¿Qué?

The Friday before Labor Day weekend…Many call it the end of Summer, but here in San Francisco it’s safe to say it’s the beginning. Our temperatures finally heat up from the Bay Shore to the Pacific Ocean. The sun is lower on the horizon, shadows are longer, Fall fashion ads are everywhere, and local restaurants are transitioning to seasonal delicacies like squash and brussel sprouts (Children everywhere collectively laughing at that comment!), and this weekend is the final exodus of Summer travelers, many of whom are headed to Burning Man.

37 Rico Way…a tear down (if you’re so lucky to be able to tear it down) in the Marina district, and definitely built on Landfill, listed for $1,999,000, and sold in the blink of an eye for $2,680,000…in case the hallucinogens of Burning Man are already kicking in and that math is perplexing you, that’s $681,000 over list…and our market is cooling.

As for the rest of the top 10…here you go:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
37 Rico Way 3/1.00/N/A 15 $1,999,000 $2,680,000 34.07%
753 44th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 15 $898,000 $1,185,000 31.96%
343 29th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,495,000 $1,950,000 30.43%
83 Winfield Street 2/1.00/N/A 8 $1,050,000 $1,350,000 28.57%
472 Naples Street 2/1.00/N/A 35 $575,000 $735,000 27.83%
361 Church Street 2/1.00/ 43 $989,000 $1,260,000 27.40%
534 Shotwell Street 2/1.50/4 12 $949,000 $1,200,000 26.45%
1178 Dolores Street 2/2.00/ 12 $1,395,000 $1,760,000 26.16%
421 Los Palmos Drive 3/2.00/N/A 22 $1,058,000 $1,325,000 25.24%
486 45th Avenue 6/5.50/N/A 29 $1,998,000 $2,500,000 25.13%

It’s a transitional weekend for real estate, and next week will begin the flood of inventory to our market for the (hopefully) robust Fall selling season. We’re just as anxious to see how it all pans out as you, so make sure you follow this blog, and we’ll keep you in the loop.

Bending your real estate mind one blog post at a time, it’s what I do.

Have a great weekend!

Marina District Liquefaction Zones [theFrontSteps]

Who doesn’t love em…Overbids!

I guess buyers don’t love em. Or the thousands of people still trying to get in this market, but fear not. The tides will turn at some point. They have to.

Top 10 Overbids for San Francisco

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
1551 21st Avenue 4/3.00/N/A 42 $998,000 $1,510,000 51.30%
1634 30th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 29 $995,000 $1,325,000 33.17%
83 Sharon Street 2/1.00/ 23 $799,000 $1,022,000 27.91%
205 Ellsworth Street 1/1.00/N/A 7 $799,000 $1,020,000 27.66%
422 Green Street 2-4 Units 12 $899,000 $1,130,000 25.70%
425 Lake Street 5/1.50/N/A 12 $1,995,000 $2,450,000 22.81%
824 Shields Street 2/1.00/N/A 26 $699,000 $853,000 22.03%
1770 24th Avenue 4/3.00/N/A 7 $1,195,000 $1,455,000 21.76%
54 Cook Street 56 2-4 Units 11 $1,200,000 $1,455,000 21.25%
2 Dawnview Way 5/4.00/N/A 18 $1,250,000 $1,504,000 20.32%

For more Overbids, Underbids, Stalefish, Recent Sales, and New listings, check out my Goods Page. Your one stop shop for all things Real Estate.

Happy Friday! Come check out my new listing this weekend – she’s a beauty, that’s for sure.

Hey Overbids!

The overbids are still there, it’s myself who has been a bit absent. Hey! It’s Summer, so why not.

Top 10 Overbids for San Francisco:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
792 Capp Street 3/1.00/N/A 13 $995,000 $1,450,000 45.73%
154 Bonview Street 1/1.00/N/A 9 $799,000 $1,150,000 43.93%
113 Newman Street 2/1.00/N/A 9 $889,000 $1,250,000 40.61%
2330 Sloat Boulevard 5/3.00/N/A 23 $995,000 $1,380,000 38.69%
1375 32nd Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 32 $950,000 $1,280,000 34.74%
1728 Ortega Street 3/2.00/N/A 16 $1,095,000 $1,458,000 33.15%
850 Treat Avenue 2/1.00/ 10 $999,000 $1,300,000 30.13%
23 Roscoe Street 1/1.00/N/A 27 $695,000 $890,000 28.06%
4228 24th Street 2/2.00/ 15 $1,299,000 $1,650,000 27.02%
1856 28th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 25 $975,000 $1,238,000 26.97%

For more Overbids, Underbids, Stalefish, Recent Sales, and New Listings, check out The Goods.

Have a great weekend. Come visit me at 1011 23rd, my super sweet loft, which just came BOM for $699,000.