Maximum Overbid of the Week | West Portal 2 Bed Gets 42% Above Asking

We can talk about under-pricing all day long, but the fact is buyers keep taking prices higher and higher, and the last time I checked, inventory remains crazy low. Open house traffic to pretty much any single family home in the city remains brisk (borderline mob scene), and condos in great locations are just about the same, so a major tide swing in our market still remains only a topic of speculation, and definitely not reality.

So here you go…the Top 10 Overbids for San Francisco:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
89 Forest Side Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 22 $1,168,000 $1,656,000 41.78%
2583 45th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 12 $949,000 $1,330,000 40.15%
2082 36th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 8 $1,100,000 $1,430,000 30.00%
4779 18th Street 4881 2-4 Units 14 $995,000 $1,250,000 25.63%
38 Bitting 3/2.00/N/A 5 $849,000 $1,050,000 23.67%
1001 Pine Street 0/1.00/1212 20 $499,000 $605,000 21.24%
40 Nadell Court 4/2.00/N/A 16 $849,900 $999,000 17.54%
3324 Scott Street 3326 2-4 Units 0 $3,000,000 $3,500,000 16.67%
2479 Diamond Street 5/3.00/N/A 122 $1,799,000 $2,025,000 12.56%
190 8th Avenue N/A/N/A/7 17 $2,850,000 $3,165,000 11.05%

Definitely a couple stunners on that list, and many that are no surprise (at least to me).

Have a great weekend! Pray for more snow. That last storm was a total tease.

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$682,000 Over Asking in the Outer Sunset to End the Year

You thought I was going to let you finish out the year without one final Overbid stunner, didn’t you? I actually tried, but then it didn’t snow (Supreme Leader says it’s cold, so Global Warming is not a real thing), so I was left with a choice of skiing man-made ice, or sit down and share these jaw-dropping overbids with you. I chose the latter, if that tells you anything about the quality of skiing up around Tahoe these days. Pray for snow!

Anyhow…It’s important to note, many of these homes hit the market at what is traditionally the slowest time of year for San Francisco real estate, the Holidays, yet still had enough interest to drive the price to the moon. Case in point, the #1 Overbid at 1623 43rd Ave, listing for $998,000 (some would argue a bit low), but selling for a staggering $1,680,000! Forget about the overbid amount, and focus on the final sales price…that’s damn near $1.7M for a basic Outer Sunset home…the Sunset…the place nobody ever wanted to be, and now it’s the hottest neighborhood in the city. Maybe all these hipster surfers are on to something. ;-)

So you’re thinking this property is just a one-off…not so. Look at the #2 Overbid at 840 Kansas, a fixer in Potrero Hill selling for $1,629,000…or 49% above their list price.

Before any of you nay-sayers spending too much time “plugged in” to other sites get all bent out of shape about us Realtors constantly touting overbids, stop for a minute and look at the underlying price per square foot on both of those sales $1153/sqft in the Outer Sunset and $1398/sqft in Potrero Hill.

Since this is my last post of 2017, let me dig a little deeper into those numbers for you. My quick calculations and MLS sales search shows in all of 2016, there was exactly one sale in the Outer Sunset over $1.6M, the average sales price was $1,095,578, and the average price per square foot was $801. Fast forward to the same search for 2017, there are seven sales over $1.6M, average sales price is now $1,229,376, and the average price per square foot is now $902. That is just single family home sales for the Outer Sunset. If you want Potrero Hill numbers, you’ll have to contact me. I’m going surfing right now.

Here are the top 10 Overbids to finish out 2017…

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
1623 43rd Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $998,000 $1,680,000 68.34%
840 Kansas Street 2/1.00/N/A 22 $1,095,000 $1,629,000 48.77%
131 Peru Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $749,000 $1,105,000 47.53%
253 Sussex Street 2/1.00/N/A 11 $899,000 $1,300,000 44.61%
355 Winding Way 3/1.00/N/A 47 $828,000 $1,063,000 28.38%
260 King Street 1/1.50/657 15 $720,000 $900,777 25.11%
108 Sagamore Street 110 2/1.25/N/A 40 $819,000 $1,005,000 22.71%
251 De Long Street 2/1.00/N/A 12 $699,000 $788,000 12.73%
150 Saturn Street 3/2.00/ 11 $1,499,000 $1,675,000 11.74%
5160 Diamond Heights Boulevard 1/1.00/307C 35 $650,000 $725,000 11.54%

As always, the rest of this great data (Overbids, Underbids, Recent Sales, New Listings, and more) can be found on The Goods.

I wish all of you a safe and Happy New Year! Here’s to 2018, tons of snow, and me helping ALL of you sell your SF properties so you can take the cash, retire, and live your dreams.

Ciao, au-revoir, adios, auf wiedersehen 2017! See you all next year.

217 Single Family Homes For Sale In San Francisco … Right Now … That’s It

In the past 7 days, there have been only 23 single family homes come on the market in ALL of San Francisco…16 of those homes hit the market today. Total, there are currently only 217 single family homes “active” for sale in ALL of San Francisco, a city of around 865,000 permanent residents.

There are currently 217 people looking for a single family in the Outer Sunset alone!

Chew on that for your weekend commute.

Happy Aloha Friday, here are your top 10 Overbids:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
436 Valley Street 3/1.00/N/A 12 $1,195,000 $1,821,300 52.41%
387 Silver Avenue 389 2-4 Units 16 $999,000 $1,520,000 52.15%
4388 23rd Street 1/1.00/N/A 7 $749,000 $1,065,000 42.19%
208 Banks Street 2/2.00/N/A 10 $1,195,000 $1,620,000 35.56%
1622 35th Avenue 5/2.00/N/A 13 $1,349,000 $1,825,000 35.29%
771 Teresita 2/1.00/N/A 16 $1,088,000 $1,470,000 35.11%
2 Seal Rock Drive 2/1.00/N/A 12 $895,000 $1,200,000 34.08%
703 San Bruno Avenue 4/2.00/N/A 16 $1,495,000 $2,000,000 33.78%
647 28th Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 17 $899,000 $1,200,000 33.48%
1282 18th Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 4 $1,350,000 $1,800,000 33.33%

Prosst!

Just Shy of $1,000,000 OVER Asking…and Nine Other Overbid Head Spinners

It’s kind of like an “own-goal” in Soccer (Internationally referred to as Football)…sometimes you just gotta put your head down and accept the disbelief…

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids, with 1 Miguel on top selling just shy of a staggering $1,000,000 over asking:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
1 Miguel Street 3/2.50/N/A 2 $1,675,000 $2,600,000 55.22%
2306 41st Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 12 $799,000 $1,155,000 44.56%
106 Edna Street 3/2.00/N/A 15 $1,098,000 $1,575,000 43.44%
275 London Street 3/2.00/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,415,000 42.21%
263 Duncan 2/1.50/ 7 $1,149,000 $1,600,000 39.25%
350 Joost Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 7 $799,000 $1,100,000 37.67%
248 Elsie Street 2/1.00/N/A 12 $1,095,000 $1,480,000 35.16%
18 Abbey Street 2/1.00/ 10 $950,000 $1,275,000 34.21%
104 Marview Way 3/1.00/N/A 14 $985,000 $1,320,000 34.01%
1717 Alabama Street 3/2.00/N/A 8 $1,550,000 $2,060,000 32.90%

In case you missed that “DOM” on 1 Miguel, it’s a 2, as in two days on the market.

Have a great weekend. Come visit me at 740 Clayton and take a look at this one-of-a-kind property before it’s gone.

SOLD | 1143-45 Jackson | It’s a Good Story…

I had the pleasure of representing some repeat clients on their purchase of this well located and highly sought after two unit property at 1143-45 Jackson for $2,150,000. We had to go to battle, for sure, but in the end we beat out 11 other buyers (including one higher) to seal the deal. The story on this is very interesting…


My clients really wanted this property, despite having just recently (2 weeks prior) purchased another property in the neighborhood. Listed for $1,688,000, it was anybody’s guess where 1143-45 Jackson would go, so we guessed $1,850,000 as our original offer (cash, 7 day close, no contingencies) would “get us a seat at the table”. Well…it almost got us kicked out of the club as we were the LOWEST of 11! Laughable, but not laughable. Many agents would stop there. Not me.

I practically begged to be involved in a multiple counter, and advised the listing agents we could go higher, but simply didn’t know where to begin. So we got the counter from sellers at $2,150,000…and it was ours, because we had excellent terms and a well put together offer package. BUT! We countered at $2,125,000, which was a risky move and could backfire. It backfired. The sellers said they were accepting a higher offer than ours, because we didn’t go where we needed to go. We were devastated.

Then we got the call…the other buyer was M.I.A., and so we could again have the property at $2,150,000 if we could get it signed within 30 minutes. While cooking Salmon on the barbecue, and managing my starving children, I was able to sit down to Docusign (our electronic signature system) between grill checks, some flames, and occasional shouts of “the fish is on fire dad!” to get the counter sent to my buyer, signed, and back to the seller within 10 minutes. Fish off the grill. White wine and milk poured. Napkins in laps. Mahlzeit.

They put the other buyer in “backup” position, in case we faltered. We closed 7 days later.

That’s probably more story than you needed to hear, but that’s how you get it done for your buyers in this market.

Congratulations!

Maximum Overbids of the Week | Top 10

Multiple properties still selling 30% plus over asking, all over San Francisco…

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
114 Congo Street 2/2.00/N/A 12 $859,000 $1,285,000 49.59%
1571 31st Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 15 $938,000 $1,365,000 45.52%
2454 30th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 9 $995,000 $1,427,000 43.42%
2169 26th Avenue 4/2.50/N/A 0 $1,495,000 $2,100,000 40.47%
1665 17th Avenue 3/2.50/N/A 14 $1,395,000 $1,950,000 39.78%
1812 Silver Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 32 $588,000 $820,000 39.46%
218 Miguel Street 3/2.00/N/A 8 $1,795,000 $2,400,000 33.70%
331 Vernon Street 3/2.00/N/A 14 $1,025,000 $1,367,000 33.37%
1370 28th Avenue 4/3.50/N/A 40 $1,399,000 $1,830,000 30.81%
325 Teddy Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 14 $619,000 $805,000 30.05%

Not enough time on my hands to get into details today, but from the looks of this list, you can tell the West is still going strong. All of these prices are in line with comps, and at some point list prices will start to catch up with realistic sales prices.

Still a great time to be a seller. I have a great big home/property coming soon on Clayton Street, so stay tuned for that. And as always, give me a shout when it’s time for you or your neighbors to sell.

Have a great weekend!

Facebook Snags Downtown SF Office Space | New Inventory Is Still Tight | Prices Up 10.4% YOY | And Overbids

Just when you thought maybe things would cool, Fall hits, listings are gobbled up, Overbids continue, multiple offers are the norm, pickin’s are still slim (even though at last check 100 new properties hit MLS today), and Facebook goes and signs a whopper of an office deal right next to Salesforce, around the corner from LinkedIn, and gives its commuter employees reason to rejoice and plant roots firmly in San Francisco.

I suspect this will play a role in our very basic supply/demand conundrum of the last 15 years, and counting.

As for our current market, here goes…

Single Family Homes:
August’s median sales price continued its predictable seasonal backing off from its Spring peak, dropping 6.4% to $1,380,000 from May’s $1,475,000. However, in the same time frame last year prices dipped 7.4%. Prices are still up 10.4% above August, 2016.

Since August, 2012, the median sold price in San Francisco is up 81%.

Inventory continues to be at its lowest level, 1.6 months, since last December. This is the ongoing result of fewer homes coming on the market while sales stay fairly constant. The number of new listings on the market year-to-date is down 7% from 2016 while the number of sales is up 3.3%.

The incredibly tight supply coupled with strong demand kept the level of overbids high as well, down a bit from July but still at 114%, and 79% of single family homes sold above the list price, up from 75.9% last August.

Condo/Loft/TIC’s:
Median sold prices are up 10.8%, to $1,175,000, compared to August 2016. And, while not as great a rise as with single family homes, the median sold price is up 62.5% compared to August 2012’s $723,000.

In August, 63.4% sold above list price and the median bid was 3.2% above list price.

The number of Condo/Loft/TIC listings are also down year-to-date compared to 2016, by 10.7%. And, like single family homes, sales are up, by 2.6%. Current inventory stands at a 2 months supply.

To see and share this in infographic form, see below.
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Let’s talk Overbids – The Top 10

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
1632 Pacheco Street 5/4.00/N/A 15 $995,000 $1,550,000 55.78%
1932 Ortega Street 2/2.00/N/A 10 $998,000 $1,425,000 42.79%
146 Beulah Street 2/1.00/ 14 $949,000 $1,350,000 42.26%
52 Dawnview Way 4/3.00/N/A 12 $1,250,000 $1,750,000 40.00%
177 Forest View Drive 3/2.00/N/A 18 $1,149,000 $1,580,000 37.51%
136 Andover Street 2/1.00/N/A 10 $1,099,000 $1,502,053 36.67%
1738 25th Avenue 4/3.00/N/A 11 $1,398,800 $1,800,000 28.68%
2319 15th Street 2/2.00/A 10 $1,195,000 $1,525,000 27.62%
217 Lowell Street 2/2.00/N/A 2 $849,000 $1,080,000 27.21%
62 Santa Ysabel Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 39 $998,000 $1,240,000 24.25%

Madness. Sheer madness, and I’ve been saying this for better part of a decade. It’s insane. So if you want to sell, check out my track record, and let’s get ‘er done in high fashion.

That’s all I have for you today. Finally some great weather out West Side of San Francisco, so get out and enjoy! Fall is in the air, cycling is great and getting crisp, surf is turning fun (water is warm too), and that means snow is on the way.

-Let’s be friends on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and/or LinkedIn…I’ll keep you updated on all things San Francisco Real Estate
Recent Sales [theFrontSteps]
The First Newsletter We Could Find (With Overbids)
Facebook Takes All of 432,000 Square Feet Commercial Space at 181 Fremont in San Francisco-The Registry
Facebook is dropping $35 million to lease a beautiful, earthquake-resistant skyscraper in San Francisco – take a look inside– Business Insider

No Real Surprise: Homes Still Selling Way Over Asking

It’s Friday! You made it to the end of the week, and if you’re like me, you made it to the beginning of the school year. Although, I will say, entertaining those kids of mine is a helluva lot more fun than sending emails and blogging…but I’m not complaining.

Anyway, you made it to Friday, so that means Overbids…

Since it’s been nearly a month since my last post, I figured I’d give you the top 20 for the past 14 days, rather than the top 10.

No real surprises on this list. Everything selling right about where it should, and properties priced according to San Francisco tradition it seems (low). It’s the name of the game, and it works well, so you might as well play it.

That’s it. Have a great weekend. Expect our inventory to pick up dramatically in a couple weeks, so keep your eyes on all the hot new listings, and recent sales, and check back for more consistent and detailed market reports once the Summer doldrums are over.

Happy Aloha Friday.

-The Goods

It’s Official, The Avenues Have Gone Bonkers…

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids of the Week:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2658 40th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 8 $895,000 $1,350,000 50.84%
833 Head Street 3/1.25/N/A 12 $1,295,000 $1,910,000 47.49%
33 Idora Avenue 4/2.00/N/A 13 $1,095,000 $1,600,000 46.12%
231 Ney Street 3/2.00/N/A 12 $899,000 $1,280,000 42.38%
249 10th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 11 $1,349,000 $1,905,000 41.22%
2763 40th Avenue 4/2.00/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,370,000 37.69%
979 Teresita Boulevard 2/1.00/N/A 20 $799,000 $1,100,000 37.67%
1668 48th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $895,000 $1,223,000 36.65%
2211 47th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 0 $899,000 $1,225,000 36.26%
321 Page Street 2/2.00/ 5 $1,195,000 $1,600,000 33.89%

Cole Valley Mid Century Gets $4,000,000 – Plus Overbids

It’s $1,250,000 over asking for 1238 Stanyan (#3 on the list, and worth every penny)…or to put it another way…an overbid that could almost (+$25k) buy you this condo in Cole Valley at 1240 Willard outright.

Put that in your morning pastry and chew on it.

As for the rest of the top 10 Overbids, here you go.

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
58 Lapidge Street 4/2.50/N/A 13 $1,348,000 $2,325,000 72.48%
1675 38th Avenue 2/2.00/N/A 11 $995,000 $1,501,675 50.92%
1238 Stanyan Street 4/3.00/N/A 10 $2,750,000 $4,000,000 45.45%
2301 25th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,410,000 41.71%
639 17th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 13 $879,000 $1,202,000 36.75%
3238 Harrison Street 3/1.00/N/A 12 $1,099,000 $1,500,000 36.49%
1723 24th Avenue 5/4.00/N/A 5 $1,168,000 $1,575,000 34.85%
2263 42nd Avenue 4/4.00/N/A 12 $1,199,000 $1,608,000 34.11%
2300 34th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 18 $1,150,000 $1,538,000 33.74%
278 30th Street 280 2-4 Units 13 $1,498,000 $1,975,000 31.84%

It doesn’t take a genius to see from this list what part of town is white hot right now (Hint: the Avenues and all points West), but it does take some big cajones to go $1,250,000 over asking to win your mid century dream home in a stellar Cole Valley location.

In other news: For those of you looking to get into a single family in Cole Valley, I have one coming at 707 Cole…a 4 bed, 3 bath Victorian. We hope to be on MLS within a couple weeks, so if you’d like first crack, get in touch.

A lot of fun and good conversation comes by way of the Top 10 Overbids, but did you know I also share ALL of the recent sales in San Francisco with you, on a regular basis? Sort by neighborhood, property type, price, etc and track sales in you ‘hood. In case you can’t remember that, you should Follow theFrontSteps.

Have a great Memorial Day Weekend. Play safe. Play smart. Wear sunscreen.

theFrontSteps @ The Goods