Maximum Overbids of the Week | Top 10

Multiple properties still selling 30% plus over asking, all over San Francisco…

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
114 Congo Street 2/2.00/N/A 12 $859,000 $1,285,000 49.59%
1571 31st Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 15 $938,000 $1,365,000 45.52%
2454 30th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 9 $995,000 $1,427,000 43.42%
2169 26th Avenue 4/2.50/N/A 0 $1,495,000 $2,100,000 40.47%
1665 17th Avenue 3/2.50/N/A 14 $1,395,000 $1,950,000 39.78%
1812 Silver Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 32 $588,000 $820,000 39.46%
218 Miguel Street 3/2.00/N/A 8 $1,795,000 $2,400,000 33.70%
331 Vernon Street 3/2.00/N/A 14 $1,025,000 $1,367,000 33.37%
1370 28th Avenue 4/3.50/N/A 40 $1,399,000 $1,830,000 30.81%
325 Teddy Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 14 $619,000 $805,000 30.05%

Not enough time on my hands to get into details today, but from the looks of this list, you can tell the West is still going strong. All of these prices are in line with comps, and at some point list prices will start to catch up with realistic sales prices.

Still a great time to be a seller. I have a great big home/property coming soon on Clayton Street, so stay tuned for that. And as always, give me a shout when it’s time for you or your neighbors to sell.

Have a great weekend!

Facebook Snags Downtown SF Office Space | New Inventory Is Still Tight | Prices Up 10.4% YOY | And Overbids

Just when you thought maybe things would cool, Fall hits, listings are gobbled up, Overbids continue, multiple offers are the norm, pickin’s are still slim (even though at last check 100 new properties hit MLS today), and Facebook goes and signs a whopper of an office deal right next to Salesforce, around the corner from LinkedIn, and gives its commuter employees reason to rejoice and plant roots firmly in San Francisco.

I suspect this will play a role in our very basic supply/demand conundrum of the last 15 years, and counting.

As for our current market, here goes…

Single Family Homes:
August’s median sales price continued its predictable seasonal backing off from its Spring peak, dropping 6.4% to $1,380,000 from May’s $1,475,000. However, in the same time frame last year prices dipped 7.4%. Prices are still up 10.4% above August, 2016.

Since August, 2012, the median sold price in San Francisco is up 81%.

Inventory continues to be at its lowest level, 1.6 months, since last December. This is the ongoing result of fewer homes coming on the market while sales stay fairly constant. The number of new listings on the market year-to-date is down 7% from 2016 while the number of sales is up 3.3%.

The incredibly tight supply coupled with strong demand kept the level of overbids high as well, down a bit from July but still at 114%, and 79% of single family homes sold above the list price, up from 75.9% last August.

Condo/Loft/TIC’s:
Median sold prices are up 10.8%, to $1,175,000, compared to August 2016. And, while not as great a rise as with single family homes, the median sold price is up 62.5% compared to August 2012’s $723,000.

In August, 63.4% sold above list price and the median bid was 3.2% above list price.

The number of Condo/Loft/TIC listings are also down year-to-date compared to 2016, by 10.7%. And, like single family homes, sales are up, by 2.6%. Current inventory stands at a 2 months supply.

To see and share this in infographic form, see below.
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Let’s talk Overbids – The Top 10

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
1632 Pacheco Street 5/4.00/N/A 15 $995,000 $1,550,000 55.78%
1932 Ortega Street 2/2.00/N/A 10 $998,000 $1,425,000 42.79%
146 Beulah Street 2/1.00/ 14 $949,000 $1,350,000 42.26%
52 Dawnview Way 4/3.00/N/A 12 $1,250,000 $1,750,000 40.00%
177 Forest View Drive 3/2.00/N/A 18 $1,149,000 $1,580,000 37.51%
136 Andover Street 2/1.00/N/A 10 $1,099,000 $1,502,053 36.67%
1738 25th Avenue 4/3.00/N/A 11 $1,398,800 $1,800,000 28.68%
2319 15th Street 2/2.00/A 10 $1,195,000 $1,525,000 27.62%
217 Lowell Street 2/2.00/N/A 2 $849,000 $1,080,000 27.21%
62 Santa Ysabel Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 39 $998,000 $1,240,000 24.25%

Madness. Sheer madness, and I’ve been saying this for better part of a decade. It’s insane. So if you want to sell, check out my track record, and let’s get ‘er done in high fashion.

That’s all I have for you today. Finally some great weather out West Side of San Francisco, so get out and enjoy! Fall is in the air, cycling is great and getting crisp, surf is turning fun (water is warm too), and that means snow is on the way.

-Let’s be friends on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and/or LinkedIn…I’ll keep you updated on all things San Francisco Real Estate
Recent Sales [theFrontSteps]
The First Newsletter We Could Find (With Overbids)
Facebook Takes All of 432,000 Square Feet Commercial Space at 181 Fremont in San Francisco-The Registry
Facebook is dropping $35 million to lease a beautiful, earthquake-resistant skyscraper in San Francisco – take a look inside– Business Insider

No Real Surprise: Homes Still Selling Way Over Asking

It’s Friday! You made it to the end of the week, and if you’re like me, you made it to the beginning of the school year. Although, I will say, entertaining those kids of mine is a helluva lot more fun than sending emails and blogging…but I’m not complaining.

Anyway, you made it to Friday, so that means Overbids…

Since it’s been nearly a month since my last post, I figured I’d give you the top 20 for the past 14 days, rather than the top 10.

No real surprises on this list. Everything selling right about where it should, and properties priced according to San Francisco tradition it seems (low). It’s the name of the game, and it works well, so you might as well play it.

That’s it. Have a great weekend. Expect our inventory to pick up dramatically in a couple weeks, so keep your eyes on all the hot new listings, and recent sales, and check back for more consistent and detailed market reports once the Summer doldrums are over.

Happy Aloha Friday.

-The Goods

It’s Official, The Avenues Have Gone Bonkers…

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids of the Week:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2658 40th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 8 $895,000 $1,350,000 50.84%
833 Head Street 3/1.25/N/A 12 $1,295,000 $1,910,000 47.49%
33 Idora Avenue 4/2.00/N/A 13 $1,095,000 $1,600,000 46.12%
231 Ney Street 3/2.00/N/A 12 $899,000 $1,280,000 42.38%
249 10th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 11 $1,349,000 $1,905,000 41.22%
2763 40th Avenue 4/2.00/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,370,000 37.69%
979 Teresita Boulevard 2/1.00/N/A 20 $799,000 $1,100,000 37.67%
1668 48th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 13 $895,000 $1,223,000 36.65%
2211 47th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 0 $899,000 $1,225,000 36.26%
321 Page Street 2/2.00/ 5 $1,195,000 $1,600,000 33.89%

Cole Valley Mid Century Gets $4,000,000 – Plus Overbids

It’s $1,250,000 over asking for 1238 Stanyan (#3 on the list, and worth every penny)…or to put it another way…an overbid that could almost (+$25k) buy you this condo in Cole Valley at 1240 Willard outright.

Put that in your morning pastry and chew on it.

As for the rest of the top 10 Overbids, here you go.

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
58 Lapidge Street 4/2.50/N/A 13 $1,348,000 $2,325,000 72.48%
1675 38th Avenue 2/2.00/N/A 11 $995,000 $1,501,675 50.92%
1238 Stanyan Street 4/3.00/N/A 10 $2,750,000 $4,000,000 45.45%
2301 25th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,410,000 41.71%
639 17th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 13 $879,000 $1,202,000 36.75%
3238 Harrison Street 3/1.00/N/A 12 $1,099,000 $1,500,000 36.49%
1723 24th Avenue 5/4.00/N/A 5 $1,168,000 $1,575,000 34.85%
2263 42nd Avenue 4/4.00/N/A 12 $1,199,000 $1,608,000 34.11%
2300 34th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 18 $1,150,000 $1,538,000 33.74%
278 30th Street 280 2-4 Units 13 $1,498,000 $1,975,000 31.84%

It doesn’t take a genius to see from this list what part of town is white hot right now (Hint: the Avenues and all points West), but it does take some big cajones to go $1,250,000 over asking to win your mid century dream home in a stellar Cole Valley location.

In other news: For those of you looking to get into a single family in Cole Valley, I have one coming at 707 Cole…a 4 bed, 3 bath Victorian. We hope to be on MLS within a couple weeks, so if you’d like first crack, get in touch.

A lot of fun and good conversation comes by way of the Top 10 Overbids, but did you know I also share ALL of the recent sales in San Francisco with you, on a regular basis? Sort by neighborhood, property type, price, etc and track sales in you ‘hood. In case you can’t remember that, you should Follow theFrontSteps.

Have a great Memorial Day Weekend. Play safe. Play smart. Wear sunscreen.

theFrontSteps @ The Goods

San Francisco Real Estate’s Top 10 Overbids Week Ending 5/19/17

I know it’s hard to top the blog I just posted about the letters from buyers’ children to sellers, but it is Friday after all, and I know you like your Overbids, so here you go…

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2654 15th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 10 $995,000 $1,625,000 63.32%
1234 5th Avenue 4/1.25/N/A 13 $1,749,000 $2,600,000 48.66%
619 22nd Avenue 2/1.25/N/A 4 $995,000 $1,450,000 45.73%
1675 29th Avenue 3/1.25/N/A 15 $995,000 $1,440,000 44.72%
533 Vicente Street 2/1.00/N/A 12 $1,159,000 $1,610,000 38.91%
56 Majestic Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 14 $899,000 $1,180,000 31.26%
1237 Chestnut Street 2/1.00/5 11 $999,000 $1,300,000 30.13%
945 Teresita Boulevard 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,145,000 $1,470,000 28.38%
780 Pacheco Street 3/2.00/N/A 12 $1,295,000 $1,655,000 27.80%
144 Putnam Street 3/1.00/N/A 12 $1,045,000 $1,333,144 27.57%

It’s Bay to Breakers weekend…as you might already know. Have fun, be safe, duck for cover, and watch out for low dangling objects that are best not to be seen in public!

See you next week, and don’t forget to follow theFrontSteps so you don’t miss a beat.

Buyers Look to Their Children’s Art & Writing Skills to Get Offers Accepted [theFrontSteps]

The List That Just Won’t Quit | San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids Of The Week

To say the Richmond District single family home market is hot right now is a wee little understatement. It’s white hot.

Overbid of $712,000 aside, it’s another $1100 per square foot sale in an area of town previously undiscovered and overlooked. I guess the secret is out

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
571 20th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 12 $1,388,000 $2,100,000 51.30%
1463 40th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 14 $899,000 $1,350,000 50.17%
844 Detroit Street 3/1.00/N/A 22 $899,000 $1,300,000 44.61%
171 Ledyard Street 2/2.00/N/A 11 $599,000 $850,000 41.90%
340 Benton Avenue 3/2.50/ 15 $829,000 $1,142,500 37.82%
1523 26th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 17 $998,000 $1,375,000 37.78%
3030 Rivera Street 3/2.00/N/A 12 $899,000 $1,235,000 37.37%
4045 Ocean Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 10 $1,195,000 $1,622,000 35.73%
849 44th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 10 $1,049,000 $1,410,000 34.41%
74 Winfield Street 76 2-4 Units 29 $995,000 $1,320,000 32.66%

Special mention to my listing at 849 44th Ave that barely made it to the list even as nuts as our situation there was!

These lists are very “real-time”, and a good indication of pockets of our market. For a broader look at the San Francisco market I continually refer people to my favorite resource in Patrick Carlisle at Paragon Real Estate:
30+ Years of San Francisco Real Estate Cycles
Preliminary Indications of Direction of the San Francisco 2017 Market

Have a great weekend! It’s gonna be a cracker, so get out and enjoy.

Five days later and $361,000 Over, 849 44th Ave Sets New Record Price Per Square Foot in the Outer Richmond [theFrontSteps]

Five Days Later And $361,000 Over, 849 44th Ave Sets New Price Per Square Foot Record In Outer Richmond

To say we knocked it out of the park on this wonderful Outer Richmond residence, like I did with 652 44th Ave would be an understatement…

Listed on a Friday morning, I got a call from an agent shortly thereafter asking if he could get his client in…so I obviously obliged. That day, same agent asked if they could write an offer now to “take it off the table”. The next day, three other buyers asked the same. The sellers and I respectfully declined all of the pre-emptive attempts, and asked the buyers to wait until our offer day 10 days later. Wait they did. After getting roughly 200 people through the door, we got nine offers, and two others that said they’d like to write at $1,250,000, so without actually saying it, I said it, “Don’t waste your time.”

After a slew of phone calls and negotiations, buyer #1..the same person that was the first person to see it, came up to where they needed to be, upped their offer to $1,410,000 and we closed 5 days later. (As a side note, it is often the first person to see a place that is the winner…keep that in mind.)

There you have it. Congratulations to buyers and sellers, and the Outer Richmond for being one of the hottest neighborhoods in all of San Francisco, at the moment. In case you’re wondering, that’s $1146 per square foot for the Outer Richmond.

To give you a little more indication of our market, as crazy as this Overbid was, it’s only #18 on the Top 20 Overbids!

From the original post:

Top 10 Overbids And Some Very Interesting Outer Sunset / Parkside Data

It’s that time…

Top 10 Overbids Of the Week

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
165 Vasquez Avenue 3/1.25/N/A 12 $1,050,000 $1,703,000 62.19%
1846 38th Avenue 2/1.00/N/A 12 $898,000 $1,255,000 39.76%
3537 Lawton Street 3/3.00/N/A 11 $1,095,000 $1,525,000 39.27%
1534 17th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 10 $995,000 $1,350,000 35.68%
2039 47th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 0 $895,000 $1,204,000 34.53%
176 Valmar Terrace 2/1.00/N/A 8 $599,000 $802,000 33.89%
153 Wool Street 2/2.00/N/A 1 $1,098,000 $1,450,000 32.06%
257 Richland Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 14 $999,000 $1,315,000 31.63%
1698 Armstrong Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 25 $895,000 $1,173,000 31.06%
229 Stanyan Street 3/2.50/N/A 13 $1,399,000 $1,825,000 30.45%

You might think a lot of emphasis is placed on the overbid and the shock and awe of these, and it is…and it should be. But stop for a minute and look at the bigger picture that is still unfolding. These ridiculous overbids happen by way of multiple offers. What does that mean in lay terms? There is more than one buyer interested in any one home at any one time. Usually, there are about 20-30 people interested, and in situations like this anywhere from 5-15 people actually throw their offer into the hat. And for the most part, these homes are nothing fancy, especially the top dog 165 Vasquez…it’s a “Fabulous Fixer” that sold for $1.7M.

Take it a step further and think about the “Outer” Avenues. The Western shore of San Francisco. The “Outerlands”. The sand dunes. The desolation. The edge of the Continent. The place nobody wanted to be, because it is “always foggy” (When I have listings out this way, people actually come up to me and ask, “Is it ever sunny out here?”…no joke). As it turns out, it’s the most popular place to buy in San Francisco at the moment (close second would be Bernal Heights). Why is that? It’s one of the few areas in San Francisco you can still get a single family home under $1.3M…barely.

Think back to 2014 when the average home in the Outer Avenues could be had for under $900,000 , and look at the four overbids on this top 10 list in the avenues, all trading well over $1.2M. It’s nuts! But it’s reality.

As a reference point, to make sure I wasn’t delusional, I pulled the averages for the Outer Sunset and Outer Parkside 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017. Have a look…

Type       Units Sold | List Price | Sqft | LPPSF| DOM | Sales Price | SPPSF

Single-Family | (142)  | $759,918 | 1358 | $595 | 34 | $854,982 | $670
Single-Family | (142) | $844,974 | 1365 | $645 | 25 | $1,012,097 | $771
Single-Family | (141) | $918,479 | 1398 | $689 | 29 | $1,080,833 | $808
Single-Family | (28) | $910,195 | 1237 | $778 | 31 | $1,076,107 | $906

It’s all very interesting…
Units Sold – almost identical every year.
List price – Creeped steadily up.
Average size of the home – down.
List Price – Up.
Days On Market – Hovering around 30.
Sales price – Climbing (remember 2017 is not even close to done).
And the last and easy to decipher for even the most data challenged person (like myself) Sales Price Per Square Foot – up nearly $240 per square foot on average.

Moral of the story, it’s hot in the Avenues right now. And the small to mid-size single family home market is sizzling. It might be time for you to sell, so give me a shout.

Anyhow, that’s it. Have a great holiday weekend! Enjoy the sun, surf, snow, greens, trails, whatever it is you love to do, and I’ll be back next week.

Uninhabitable San Francisco Home Asks $499,000 Gets $789,000

It’s official…San Francisco real estate is on acid.

This week’s #1 Overbid is sure to blow your mind. Listed for $499,000 and just closed for $789,000, 167 Maynard is everything you’ve ever dreamed of owning in a home…assuming you can raze it and build that dream home (just keep your eyes closed for the next two years while you go through planning and construction).


Overbid amount aside, what we have here is a totally uninhabitable home in an up and coming neighborhood of San Francisco selling for more than triple the National Average Home Price. Chew on that this Friday morning.

As for the top 10…here you go:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
167 Maynard Street 3/1.00/N/A 14 $499,000 $789,000 58.12%
1368 46th Avenue 3/2.00/N/A 12 $799,000 $1,200,000 50.19%
347 Lisbon Street 3/1.00/N/A 8 $599,000 $875,000 46.08%
1415 Oakdale Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 11 $599,000 $875,000 46.08%
1567 29th Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 14 $995,000 $1,420,000 42.71%
1719 17th Avenue 3/1.50/N/A 22 $998,000 $1,400,000 40.28%
2191 24th Avenue 3/1.00/N/A 7 $898,000 $1,250,000 39.20%
1452 Waller Street 1/1.00/2 34 $649,000 $901,000 38.83%
117 Los Palmos Drive 3/2.00/N/A 10 $949,000 $1,301,000 37.09%
229 Granville Way 3/3.00/N/A 7 $1,695,000 $2,305,000 35.99%

Happy Friday! Come back next week for more, or better yet, Follow theFrontSteps.

The Goods for all your Real Estate Needs