Thanks to our Reader DL for sending this in. We we were not going to post it, because we really don’t feel it has any bearing on the current San Francisco market (things could always change), but it is another point of reference for you. What do you think?
“California’s Real Estate Crisis Will Be Worse Than Most Analysts Realize, With Home Prices Falling 15 To 30 Percent During The Next 36 To 42 Months
Source: PRNewswire
Publication date: 2007-06-21
SAN FRANCISCO, June 21 /PRNewswire/ — California’s real estate downturn will be deep and long lasting, with home prices falling 15 to 30 percent during the next 36 to 42 months, according to a prominent real estate expert.
Bruce Norris, who correctly forecast both the real estate boom that began in 1997 and the subsequent doubling of home prices, said the downturn will reflect a perfect storm that includes record numbers of foreclosures, a sharp decline in migration to California, substantial increases in unsold inventory, and, of course, falling prices.
“We are in for a very rough ride in California’s real estate market, which is likely to be far more severe than analysts, state officials and real estate industry associations have acknowledged,” Norris said, adding, “Foreclosures alone are likely to be more numerous than anything we’ve ever experienced, with bank repossessions ultimately accounting for as high or as many as 25-30 percent of all homes sold during the next three years. But like any storm, this, too, shall pass.” Read the rest of this entry »
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