Compare Listings

Cole Valley Sales Too Low To Count, But Area Remains Strong Nonetheless

From the author of these graphs:

The monthly sales data for Subdistrict 5E (Cole Valley/Parnassus/Ashbury Heights) is so low that running percentage declines off of median values, as I did for Noe Valley, would have been worthless. As several of your readers and I myself pointed out, it’s hard to draw conclusions when there are very few data points.

Instead I ran the percentage declines off the “95th Percentile” value, which the statisticians among your readers will know means that 95% of the sales fall below that value. Hence, it represents a “high”, while excluding the potentially aberrational top 5% of values.

After looking at this chart, I sort of threw up my hands. With only 179 sales in over 6 years, it’s not sensible in my view to draw conclusions about monthly trends in Cole Valley, let alone to compare them to Noe Valley, where the “core” area alone — Subdistrict 5C (Noe Valley) — had over 900 sales during the same period.

So I re-ran the numbers and calculated medians based on annual sales. The second chart shows the results. I think this is much easier to understand. Again, with so few sales, one should be careful about drawing any conclusions, and with only 5 sales in 2009 so far, I think it’s too early to conclude that the apparent drop in median prices for 2009 will continue to be accurate. Rather, I’d say that Cole Valley seems to have been holding up pretty well.

And we’d have to agree and argue this is yet another reason why Cole Valley is superior to Noe Valley…

cole-valley-monthly-sales-chart

cole-valley-annual-sales-chart

Thanks again to Misha Weidman for the charts and analysis. Good to have a data geek on staff. 😉


img

alexclark

Related posts

theFrontSteps SF Real Estate Report June/July 2019

It's a crazy place we live...San Francisco. Our winter weather that appears every summer...

Continue reading
by theFrontSteps

661 Belvedere In Cole Valley Strikes Gold And Claims Top Spot On Weekly Overbids | 6/14/19

No surprise here...the little house on Belvedere that hard charm, style, outdoor space, location,...

Continue reading
by theFrontSteps

For Sale | Cole Valley | $1,395,000

Do you mountain bike? Do you hike? If so, did you know our latest listing at 4758 17th St is a...

Continue reading
by theFrontSteps

4 thoughts on “Cole Valley Sales Too Low To Count, But Area Remains Strong Nonetheless”

  • dothemath

    May 28, 2009 at 9:16 am

    Only 5 sales?
    that’s a real sign of real weakness in my opinion.
    places in CV on the market need to come WAY down in price to start moving.
    It will happen….

    Reply
  • fluj

    May 28, 2009 at 12:01 pm

    “Cole Valley” isn’t really on the MLS. I’m sure most people who looked at 394 Frederick thought they were looking at a Cole Valley house. It just went for 2.35M after like a week. There are never that many houses for sale in Cole Valley …. Ashbury Terrace and Parnassus Heights always seem to have more. Cole Valley is like the area around Grattan Park, basically.

    Reply
  • DanRH

    May 28, 2009 at 2:01 pm

    sure about that? even with possibly no Whole Foods coming in to the Haight?

    http://sanfrancisco.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/stories/2009/05/25/daily47.html

    Reply
  • fluj

    May 29, 2009 at 8:51 am

    Wow. Seems like the Board IS going to redefine Cole Valley’s boundaries (and insert the name “Cole Valley.”)

    Check out this map:

    http://www.sfgate.com/maps/sfneighborhoods/

    Reply

Join The Discussion

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Follow us, it’s worth it

Get the latest posts delivered to your mailbox: