Tag Archives: San Francisco Real Estate

June Case-Shiller Index – High-Tier Home Prices Begin To Plateau For Summer

The Case-Shiller Index for the San Francisco Metro Area covers the house markets of 5 Bay Area counties, divided into 3 price tiers, each constituting one third of unit sales. Most of San Francisco’s, Marin’s and San Mateo’s house sales are in the “high price tier”, so that is where we focus most of our attention. The Index is published 2 months after the month in question and reflects a 3-month rolling average, so it will always reflect the market of some months ago. June’s Index was just recently released.

The 5 counties in our Case-Shiller Metro Statistical Area are San Francisco, Marin, San Mateo, Alameda and Contra Costa. Needless to say, there are many different real estate markets found in such a broad region, and it’s probably fair to say that the city of San Francisco’s market has generally out-performed the general metro area market.

Typically, the market cools off and plateaus for the summer months and that is what we are starting to see in the new Case-Shiller numbers for June. The next big indication of market conditions and trends will come after the autumn selling season begins in mid-September: That is typically when there is a large surge in new listings and buyer demand picks up again until the holiday slow-down begins in mid-November. It is difficult to make definitive statements about the market during the summer and mid-winter holidays because the market almost always slows substantially during these times.

The high-price home segment for the SF Metro area saw no significant change from May to June, though the low and mid-price segments both ticked up by a percentage point or two. Short-term fluctuations are much less meaningful than longer-term trends.

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To learn more about Seasonality & The San Francisco Real Estate Market, check out my most recent issue of sfnewsletter by clicking that link.

As always, if you have any questions, you should know where to find me by now.

-Seasonality & The San Francisco Real Estate Market [sfnewsletter]

15thkit

$1.6 to $2.2 – $1.2 to $1.6 – $1.6 to $2.3…San Francisco Overbids Continue With No End In Sight

Although I’ve been out and about and trying to enjoy summer, clearly the Overbid factory didn’t get the memo. Check out the most recent craziness, including one architect/owner designed house on 15th Ave that sold almost 40% over asking! To all of those that think things slow down in Summer…think again.

Top 10 Overbids for San Francisco:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
414 Missouri St 4/3.00/N/A 6 $950,000 $1,410,000 48.42%
671 Alvarado St 2/1.00/ 12 $899,000 $1,305,000 45.16%
1426 6th Ave 3/3.00/N/A 13 $1,595,000 $2,300,000 44.20%
609 Precita Ave 2/2.00/N/A 42 $825,000 $1,175,000 42.42%
531 Sanchez St 2/1.00/N/A 8 $995,000 $1,400,000 40.70%
2570 Folsom St 4/3.00/N/A 14 $1,595,000 $2,210,000 38.56%
45 Richland Ave 3/1.50/N/A 10 $650,000 $900,500 38.54%
2628 15th Ave 3/1.50/N/A 12 $849,000 $1,175,000 38.40%
656 Arguello Blvd 2/2.00/3 21 $799,000 $1,104,713 38.26%
80 Jersey St 3/2.00/ 14 $1,195,000 $1,650,000 38.08%

Want the top 20, sign up for sfnewsletter @ sfnewsletter.com.

[Update: Business Insider Just Shared 13 Properties all Selling For $1M or more over...]

Have a great weekend!

San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids

From $1,400,000 to $14,000,000 on 25th Ave?! Are you kidding me!? Yes, that’s a typo for sure. Agent error. Fat fingers. Something. It’s not right. But the rest – wow!

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2910 24th Ave 4/2.00/N/A 10 $1,400,000 $14,000,000 900.00%
140 Jerrold Ave 3/1.50/ 7 $215,000 $413,000 92.09%
1725 Kearny St 5 2/2.00/5 14 $1,450,000 $2,450,000 68.97%
2186 14th Ave 2/1.00/N/A 1 $949,000 $1,500,000 58.06%
1574 Innes Ave 2/1.00/N/A 14 $599,000 $915,749 52.88%
2546 McAllister St 2548 2-4 Units 60 $995,000 $1,510,000 51.76%
228 3rd Ave 3/1.00/N/A 12 $995,000 $1,475,000 48.24%
2475 15th Ave 4/2.00/N/A 20 $1,195,000 $1,695,000 41.84%
141 Beaver St 2/2.00/N/A 18 $1,798,000 $2,507,000 39.43%
270 Valencia St 2/1.00/206 13 $648,000 $900,000 38.89%

Have a great weekend.

Don’t forget, we have the full Top 20 on The Goods, and Top 20 Underbids too.

-The Goods, Because your clients deserve better.

“Sensibility And Overall Likability Are A Winning Combination”

I just wrapped up a deal with some buyers in NOPA, and this is what they had to say about working with me:

Great agent. Not only did Alex stick by us through multiple offers but finally landed us our new home even though we weren’t the highest bidders and we were up against all cash offers. By really getting to know us and meeting with the sellers agent at offer time Alex was able to position us as the best fit for the home. His knowledge & navigational skills through this unpredictable market combined with a down to earth sensibility and overall likability are a winning combination. Thanks Alex – we look forward to hosting you at our moving in party!! Lauranne, Mike and Mary

Thanks guys! Looking forward to beers and barbecue. I’ll bring Tequila!

overbidnevada

From 32% In NOPA To 65% On Nevada – San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids

It’s Friday, that means it’s time for the Top 10 Maximum Overbids of the week. As usual, there are some doozies, but nothing I would consider ultimate shockers like a few of the last weekly Top 10’s we’ve seen. The number one spot goes to the “Contractor’s Special” on Nevada in Bernal Heights that fetched 65% over (totally in line with market sales price, and not easy to price this type of property). The number 10 spot goes to my clients that finally won after so many years searching – 538 Baker in NOPA that was “only” 32% over asking and the winner out of 15 other offers, two of which were actually higher than ours and all cash. We had a loan. But we “won”.

Anyhow, on with the show. The Top 10 Overbids for San Francisco this past week:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
270 Nevada St 1/1.00/N/A 14 $530,000 $876,000 65.28%
866 Cayuga Ave 4/3.00/N/A 20 $928,000 $1,380,000 48.71%
27 Day St 3/1.00/N/A 43 $895,000 $1,310,000 46.37%
1271 15th Ave 1273 4/3.50/ 13 $1,795,000 $2,550,000 42.06%
307 Parker Ave 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,250,000 $1,710,000 36.80%
25 Miraloma Dr 3/2.00/N/A 10 $1,050,000 $1,420,000 35.24%
1150 Holloway Ave 2/1.00/N/A 35 $889,000 $1,200,000 34.98%
320 Castenada Ave 3/1.50/N/A 26 $1,695,000 $2,250,000 32.74%
471 Hickory St 2/1.00/N/A 5 $1,060,000 $1,400,000 32.08%
538 Baker 2/1.50/N/A 11 $948,000 $1,250,000 31.86%

On a side note, one of my listings will hopefully be closing today, and believe me when I say we knocked it out of the park. Will we make the Top 10? No, but maybe we’ll scratch into the Top 20.

If you’re curious what your property might sell for, give me a shout.

Have a great weekend!

-Top 20 Overbids Delivered to Your Door (Inbox) [sfnewsletter.com]
-Are Overbids A Result Of Intentional Underpricing? It’s Competitive Pricing [theFrontSteps]
-Top 20 Underbids [sfnewsletter.com]