Category Archives: San Francisco

30plus

The 30+ Club

From 333 Grant #707 to 4348 21st St, an $11,000,000 Penthouse at the Four Seasons to a 1 bedroom condo on the 46th Floor of that big ol’ tower by the Bay Bridge, there is a little category out there that is often overlooked and it’s high time it gets the attention it deserves: Properties on the market more than 30 days a.k.a the 30+ Club.

As much as I like to highlight Overbids and Underbids, properties that make the jaw drop, multi-million dollar sales, and my own triumphs, this category should actually get more attention, because if you have a property to sell in San Francisco and it hasn’t sold or gone in contract within 30 days, you’re doing something wrong, and if you’re a buyer continually getting beat out by the other guy, there is opportunity right here under your nose.

So get on the list, and if you’re an agent, send this list to your clients, and let’s help put some of these Stalefish out of their misery.

*This data is deemed reliable, but not guaranteed accurate by the MLS or myself, although it’s pretty damn close to 100%.

-30+ Club: list of properties on the market 30 Days Or More

overbidnevada

From 32% In NOPA To 65% On Nevada – San Francisco’s Top 10 Overbids

It’s Friday, that means it’s time for the Top 10 Maximum Overbids of the week. As usual, there are some doozies, but nothing I would consider ultimate shockers like a few of the last weekly Top 10′s we’ve seen. The number one spot goes to the “Contractor’s Special” on Nevada in Bernal Heights that fetched 65% over (totally in line with market sales price, and not easy to price this type of property). The number 10 spot goes to my clients that finally won after so many years searching – 538 Baker in NOPA that was “only” 32% over asking and the winner out of 15 other offers, two of which were actually higher than ours and all cash. We had a loan. But we “won”.

Anyhow, on with the show. The Top 10 Overbids for San Francisco this past week:

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
270 Nevada St 1/1.00/N/A 14 $530,000 $876,000 65.28%
866 Cayuga Ave 4/3.00/N/A 20 $928,000 $1,380,000 48.71%
27 Day St 3/1.00/N/A 43 $895,000 $1,310,000 46.37%
1271 15th Ave 1273 4/3.50/ 13 $1,795,000 $2,550,000 42.06%
307 Parker Ave 3/2.00/N/A 13 $1,250,000 $1,710,000 36.80%
25 Miraloma Dr 3/2.00/N/A 10 $1,050,000 $1,420,000 35.24%
1150 Holloway Ave 2/1.00/N/A 35 $889,000 $1,200,000 34.98%
320 Castenada Ave 3/1.50/N/A 26 $1,695,000 $2,250,000 32.74%
471 Hickory St 2/1.00/N/A 5 $1,060,000 $1,400,000 32.08%
538 Baker 2/1.50/N/A 11 $948,000 $1,250,000 31.86%

On a side note, one of my listings will hopefully be closing today, and believe me when I say we knocked it out of the park. Will we make the Top 10? No, but maybe we’ll scratch into the Top 20.

If you’re curious what your property might sell for, give me a shout.

Have a great weekend!

-Top 20 Overbids Delivered to Your Door (Inbox) [sfnewsletter.com]
-Are Overbids A Result Of Intentional Underpricing? It’s Competitive Pricing [theFrontSteps]
-Top 20 Underbids [sfnewsletter.com]

SF_Zip-Income

San Francisco Demographics

A statistical breakdown by household income, education, homeownership, foreign-born population, household size, age and other criteria.

The below charts and table are based upon U.S. Census surveys from 2010 – 2013. Please note that zip codes often contain neighborhoods of widely different demographics. For example, 94115 includes Pacific Heights, one of the most affluent areas of the city, as well the Western Addition, which is much less affluent. A number of SF zip codes are like this and when mixing very different neighborhoods together, you often end up with statistics that don’t really apply to any of them. Zip codes are relatively blunt instruments for demographic investigation, but we still found the analysis to generate interesting, new insights into San Francisco, our ever-changing city.

Each chart illustrates the data for 10 to 12 SF zip codes. Below the charts is a complete table of all the data collected.

The neighborhoods associated with zip codes in the charts and table below are simply representative labels; other neighborhoods are contained within each zip code and many are divided between two or more zip codes.

Median Household Income 

Many factors impact this statistic: household size, level of education, percentages of homeowners vs. renters, whether the rental units are subject to rent control, median resident age, quality of housing, and cost-of-housing issues besides rent control. The South Beach-Yerba Buena zip code takes top place for median household income in San Francisco. Interestingly, it is at the bottom of the ranking for average household size. This zip code is dominated by newer condo projects, many of them at the top of the price scale and the rental units here, which make up over half the housing, are typically not under rent control. The second ranked zip code for income is quite different: the St. Francis Wood-Miraloma Park area has a completely different ambiance, very few condos or renters, older residents and bigger households. And number 3 is the Presidio Trust zip code with no homeowners, all renters but no rent control, and younger residents than either of the first two. All 3 of the top zip codes, however, have very high percentages of residents with bachelor’s, graduate and professional degrees.

SF_Zip-Income
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Condo Trends

San Francisco Condominium Prices Increase 19% YOY

Below, and attached, you will find the recent condominium sales report from the Mark Company, one of the leaders in new development sales in San Francisco. They have a keen eye on all things new construction, high rise, and luxury that is popping up around town, and they are behind many of the sales offices you might be visiting. To say they know the high rise market in San Francisco would be an understatement. They are truly the front lines, so have a look.

APRIL 2014 SAN FRANCISCO CONDOMINIUM PRICES INCREASE 19 PERCENT OVER PREVIOUS YEAR
The Mark Company Trend Sheet Tracks New Construction and Resale Market Trends

San Francisco – May 19, 2014 – San Francisco condominium prices rose 19 percent in April 2014 over the previous year, according to the Condominium Pricing Index released today.

The Mark Company Condominium Pricing Index for April was $1,115 per square foot, which is up 8 percent from March. New construction inventory was 45 percent lower than a year ago, and down 1 percent from the previous month with only 136 units now available.

‘The Condominium Pricing Index underwent by far its largest single month gain this year, building on an already strong market in San Francisco caused by low inventory and extremely strong demand,’ notes Erin Kennelly, senior director of research, The Mark Company. ‘However, a surge of new condominium projects scheduled to come online this year may indicate an easing of the city’s inventory crunch.’

The Condominium Pricing Index, part of the firm’s monthly Trend Sheet, represents the price per square foot of a new 10th floor, 1,000-square-foot condominium. It is based on recent sales data, and uses a proprietary quantitative method to measure trends in market demand. It tracks the value of a new construction condominium without the volatility of inventory changes.

The Mark Company Penthouse Pricing Index, which applies the same methodology to a new 30th floor, 2,000-square-foot condominium, was $1,915 per square foot in April, up 19 percent year over year.

The condominium price per square foot was $927 for resales, up 7 percent from March 2014 and up 19 percent year over year, according to The Mark Company Trend Sheet for San Francisco. In addition, there were 307 condominium resales in San Francisco in April, 259 active condominium listings representing less than one month of inventory, and 155 pending condominium listings.”
markcotrendsheet

With what little inventory there is all across the city, versus what incredible demand remains, these numbers should come as no surprise.

As always, I’m here to help if you have any questions, or would like to buy or sell in any luxury high rise tower in San Francisco.

-The Mark Company Trend Sheet (pdf)

2224jackson

Pacific Heights Property Fetches $1,706,000 Over Asking

You read that correctly, 2224 Jackson Street, a Pacific Heights trophy three unit property listed at $2,095,000, just knocked out last week’s stunner at 2514 Gough (Sold $1.4M over), to take the cake for most insane insanity ever in real estate anywhere, ever, by selling for $1,706,000 over asking price, or a grand total of $3,801,000. It is a vacant multi unit property in one of the best areas of town, but still – that’s nuts.

That was the winner, but there were more. Second place was a paltry $600,000 over asking- that one got kicked off the list today. See the top 10 Overbids list below.

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
2224 Jackson St 2-4 Units 13 $2,095,000 $3,801,000 81.43%
1783 Noe St 2/1.00/N/A 24 $1,195,000 $1,705,000 42.68%
390 Franconia St 2/1.00/N/A 6 $895,000 $1,262,375 41.05%
239 Judah St 3/2.00/N/A 27 $1,199,000 $1,661,000 38.53%
2200 Lyon St 3/2.50/N/A 19 $2,100,000 $2,900,000 38.10%
141 2nd Ave 3/3.50/N/A 9 $1,900,000 $2,600,000 36.84%
3700 Folsom St 2/2.00/N/A 12 $1,049,000 $1,425,000 35.84%
79 Everson St 3/2.50/N/A 24 $1,195,000 $1,610,000 34.73%
5725 Diamond Heights Blvd 4/3.00/N/A 8 $1,595,000 $2,139,250 34.12%
727 35th Ave 5/4.50/N/A 13 $1,525,000 $2,025,000 32.79%

I need a drink. You?

203guerrero

That Crooked House On The Corner Of Guerrero And 14th Is For Sale – 203 Guerrero

In case you’ve driven/ridden by this place and thought you’d like to have a look inside, it’s your lucky day – 203 Guerrero just hit the market, and it’s pretty damn sweet.
203guerrero

203guerrerobath

203guerreroroof

Modern to the core, and a perfect place to see and be seen (if you’re into that type of thing), this stunner of a 3 bed, 3 bath condo (not a single family) could be yours for the very low, never sell at this price in a million years, price of $1,699,000. Don’t walk, run. It’s awesome. It has a rooftop deck with hot tub smack dab in the heart of the Mission (the heart is known to wander) for Chrissakes! Oh yeah, and Four Barrel is just down the street.

-203 Guerrero Listing Details [The Goods]

It’s Pink And Red – Will The Sellers See The Green?

2625 Noriega: 3 bed, 2 bath, $850,000 and all the pink you could ever want – like ever.


This property is definitely not marketed to create the frenzy we’ve come to expect in this market, but will it make a difference in the final outcome? Time will tell. In the meantime — just enjoy the colors for a sec and remember, your eyes are not playing tricks on you.

-2625 Noriega: 3 bed, 2 bath, $850,000 [Property Details]

San Francisco New-Housing Construction Trends

San Francisco New-Housing Construction Trends

Within its 47 square mile envelope, San Francisco is already
the 2nd most densely populated city in the United States,
and it’s growing denser, more affluent and more expensive.

May 2014 report with 13 custom charts

The following charts are mostly based on the San Francisco Planning Department’s excellent Housing Inventory and Pipeline reports, which can be accessed using the links at the bottom of this article. Quotes below are excerpted from these reports.

Packed with information, the data in one report section will not always agree perfectly with that in another – due to the multiple sources of data used by the Planning Department – and this is reflected in our charts as well. In the complex, lengthy process of application and review, public hearings (and, lately, ballot proposals), revisions, entitlement, permitting, construction and completion, how and when a project is counted may vary. Housing units are being built and being removed, and there are so many types: rental or sale, market rate or affordable, social-project housing or luxury condominiums.

Last but not least, this landscape is in constant flux: new projects, plan changes, and shifts in economic and political realities. Everything below is simply a good faith estimate. The basic reality is that San Francisco, after its recent 2008-2012 new-construction slump, is now experiencing a building boom. So far, however, it has not been able to keep up with population growth and rising buyer/renter demand.

 

New construction authorized typically will not show up as housing units completed until later years. And, of course, a developer can decide not to build after authorization if market circumstances change. The post-2008 drop in authorizations is clearly illustrated here.

“Some of the larger projects completed in 2013 include: 1190 Mission Street (355 market-rate units and 63 affordable units), Rincon Green (277 market rate units and 49 affordable units), Nema (279 market rate units and 38 affordable units).”

“Very large projects (200 units or more) filed in 2013 and are under Planning Department review include: Mission Rock (1,500 units); 150 Van Ness Avenue (429 units); 41 Tehama Street (398 units); 1066 Market (330 units); 950 Market Street (316 units); and 1301 16th Street (276 units).”

————————————————–

A glance at the recent past, the present and the possible future of new housing construction in the city. New projects are continually entering and moving through the pipeline, and existing plans may be changed or even abandoned.

“There are currently 857 projects in the pipeline. Of these, 74 percent are exclusively residential and 17 percent are mixed-use projects with both residential and commercial components. Only 8 percent of projects are non-residential developments. A net total of 50,400 new housing units would be added to the city’s housing stock according to current data. Around 18 percent of all projects, representing 6,000 net added housing units and 2,750,000 sq. ft. of commercial space, are under construction. Around 20 percent of projects (with another 4,200 net units and 3.8 million sq. ft. of commercial space) have received building permit approvals. As of the time of writing, some may have moved to the construction phase.”
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Designer Richmond Condo

741 18th Ave, Central Richmond 2+ bed, 1.5 bath, 2 car parking Top Floor Edwardian hits MLS for only $949,000

[Update: SOLD for $1,200,000]

Do you know how much more home you could buy if you just took a look outside of the Mission, Noe, NOPA, Cole Valley, Inner Sunset, or Pacific Heights neighborhoods? Wonder no more, and come visit my newest listing at 741 18th Ave in San Francisco’s Central Richmond District.


Listed at $949,000 this exquisite Top Floor Edwardian 2 bedroom plus sunroom (easily used as 3rd bedroom or office), 1.5 bath luxury residence has it all in a location ideal for outdoor enthusiasts, or urban dwellers alike. Perhaps the last area in San Francisco where you can get a “deal”, this flat features beautiful hardwood floors, formal living room w/ wood burning fireplace, formal dining room, original gum wood details, designer kitchen w/ CaesarStone counters, Bertazzoni range, breakfast area, in unit stackable Washer & Dryer, tons of natural light, views to Marin headlands, lots of closet space, additional deeded storage, landscaped yard, and 2 car parking. Half block to Golden Gate Park, and 5 minutes to Ocean Beach. Easy access to Marin, Napa, Peninsula & Downtown. Multiple public transit options, and front row seats to Outside Lands. Your friends will be asking to visit you all the time.

I will be holding this home open on Sunday 4/27 from 1-4pm, Monday 4/28 from 5:30-7:00pm, Tuesday 4/29 from 11-12:30pm, Thursday 5/1 (My birthday, so come say Happy Birthday to me) 5:30-7pm, Sunday 5/4 from 1-4pm, and by appointment all week. Please do not hesitate to contact me if you, or anyone you know, would like to get in for a closer look.

It’s truly an amazing property in an amazing location.

-741 18th Ave, 2+bd, 1.5ba, 2pk, Central Richmond $949,000 [Property Details via MLS]
-Photos by Rob Jordan, Whistle Photography

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San Francisco Is The Best City, Has The Most College Educated People, Oldest Women, And Most Homeless People, And Lots Of Fog…What Else?

By the numbers: San Francisco has an estimated population of 837,442 (per U.S. Census), we live within 47 square miles, our calves are bursting out of our jeans, and who needs squats (we have hills…apparently 43 – 50 “named” hills). We have a ton of billionaires, and even more homeless. We have old ladies, and lots of lawyers. But really, have a look at the rest.

San Francisco is:

  • America’s best city, per Bloomberg Businessweek
  • 2nd best metro area in the country for resident “well-being” (after San Jose-Santa Clara), per 2014 Gallup/Healthways survey
  • America’s most pretentious city (followed by NYC, Boston & Minneapolis), per Travel + Leisure reader survey
  • 1st in college degrees per square mile: 7031, per U.S. Census; 3rd in graduate degrees per capita (after DC and Seattle), per Forbes
  • 3rd worst metro area commute (after DC and LA): average of 61 hours of delay in traffic per year, per Texas A&M Transportation Institute
  • 5th best city for dogs, per PawNation; est. 120,000 dogs live in SF, per City Govt.
  • Last in children per capita (14%); approx. 113,000 children under 18, per U.S. Census
  • 3rd in lawyers per capita by metro area (after DC & NYC); 2nd highest mean wage for lawyers, $169,000 (after San Jose), per Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 3rd in number of billionaires (i.e. the Bay Area, after Moscow and New York): 65 billionaires (25 in SF), though it fluctuates depending on stock prices, per SFLuxe
  • 1st in homeless residents per capita, per Philanthropedia; percentage living below poverty level, 13.2%, per U.S. Census
  • 14th largest city in the U.S.; 2nd most densely populated city in the U.S. (after NYC)
  • Misc. Fact – Estimated change in population since 2010: 32,000, per U.S. Census; new housing units added since 2010: approx. 4200, per SF Planning Dept.
  • Highest median asking residential rent in U.S.: $3256/month, per livelovely.com; 4th least affordable city by median-rent-to-median-income ratio – 40.7%, per Zillow
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