luminapool

Lumina Sales Center Says Thanks

lumina

It’s not everyday a development runs an ad thanking those that have helped make it a success, but Lumina just did. I’m proud to be one of the many agents bringing buyers through the door, and making it a resounding success.

The LUMINA Sales Team & Tishman Speyer would like to extend their sincerest gratitude to those of you who have helped bring the vision of LUMINA to life.

Lumina San Francisco
Thanks Lumina sales center, it’s a pleasure working with you guys. Here’s to 2016 getting more people to recognize the sheer awesomeness of what you’re creating.

Contact me to get into Lumina today.

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SOLD | 1177 California #304, Gramercy Towers | Nob Hill

Congratulations to the buyer and seller of my most recent transaction! What a smooth one it was. If only all of them went this well. Minimum hassle, and sold at $790,000…just a touch over asking. What a wonderful building run by amazing individuals! I felt very lucky to interact with so many of the people (especially Nolly and Sonny) that make Gramercy Towers a pleasure to visit. If you live there, you’re lucky. Prime Nob Hill Location, full amenity building, and you even get a Steak House downstairs (surely there is a vegetarian option too…this is San Francisco after all.)

Listing Details:
$779,000
1 bed
1 bath
1 car parking
Remodeled Kitchen and Bath
Views
Liebherr Refrigerator
Miele Dishwasher
Fagor Range/Oven
Caesarstone Countertops
Designer Cabinets
Custom Closets
Bar seating
Views
HOA Dues: $848.83 (Includes earthquake insurance, PG&E, heat, water, garbage, common area maintenance, 24/7 lobby, onsite management, and reserves.)

Congratulations all the way around.

If you live in Nob Hill, and are considering a sale, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

1177 California #304, Property Details [theFrontSteps]

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Mission To Millennium | SF’s Top 10 Underbids of the Week

The top underbid of the week goes to an Outer Mission single family home that (dare we say) needs a bit of work. Listed for $699,000 and sold for $575,000 after 62 days on the market. According to our data from last week, single family homes continue to take up the majority of the top 10 underbid slots: 50% single family homes, 30% multi-units, and 20% condo.

As we get into the winter months, we are seeing luxury homes cooling down but affordable homes remaining competitive. One other notable Underbid is this wonderful Millennium Tower residence with million dollar water and landmark views on both sides of the Bay. Listed at $4.588M and sold for $4.18M after 122 days. Still a win, IMO.

As for the rest, here you go:

Address BR/BA/Units List Price Sold Price Underbid
2220 Cayuga Avenue 1/1/1 $699,000 $575,000 -17.74 %
161-165 Cook Street 2-4 Units $2,395,000 $2,150,000 -10.23 %
2287 16th Avenue 4/2/2 $1,388,000 $1,250,000 -9.94 %
18 Kronquist Court 4/2/1 $1,899,000 $1,725,000 -9.16 %
301 Mission Street #49D 2/3/2 $4,588,000 $4,180,000 -8.89 %
78 Gladys Street 3/2/0 $1,195,000 $1,100,000 -7.95 %
1437 47th Avenue 1437A 2-4 Units $1,275,000 $1,175,000 -7.84 %
2829 Pierce Street 2831 2-4 Units $2,970,000 $2,750,000 -7.41 %
3260 Baker Street 3/2/2 $2,999,000 $2,800,000 -6.64 %
2040 Franklin Street #506 0/1/1 $575,000 $540,000 -6.09 %

As is always the case, if you have any questions about the market, your home, homes in your area, or real estate referrals around the world, I am here to help. Just give me a shout by choosing any of the “contact” options all over this site.

San Francisco Condo Prices Down 3% Since Month Prior, Up 15% YTD

SAN FRANCISCO CONDOMINIUM PRICES DECLINED 3 PERCENT IN SEPTEMBER FROM PREVIOUS MONTH, UP 15 PERCENT FROM LAST YEAR

Resale Inventory Surpasses Two Months of Supply for First Time in Two Years
According to The Mark Company Trend Sheet

San Francisco – October 14, 2015 – San Francisco condominium prices declined 3 percent from the previous month according to the Condominium Pricing Index released today by The Mark Company, a leading urban residential marketing and sales firm.
The San Francisco Condominium Pricing Index fell to $1,294 per-square-foot in September, retreating from the $1,340 per square foot record set the previous month, but remains 15 percent higher than September 2014. Monthly appreciation during this time of year is typically low or even negative.

There are approximately 656 new condominiums for sale in San Francisco, marking the lowest inventory level since March of this year. The scarcity of inventory will be eased slightly when sales commence at several developments during the fourth quarter of this year, including 41 units at 450 Hayes in Hayes Valley and 34 units at LuXe in Pacific Heights.

Prices for resale condominiums also decreased slightly to an average of $953 per-square-foot, falling 2 percent compared to August. Despite the recent decrease, prices are still 8 percent higher than one year ago. The number of resales is trending downward, falling 19% since last month, and 25% year-over-year.

“There are currently 395 active resale condominium listings in San Francisco, representing 2.4 months of supply. This is the first time in over two years that active inventory has increased to more than two months of supply, however inventory is still extremely low,” said Erin Kennelly, senior director of research, The Mark Company. Six months of inventory is considered to be the equilibrium between a buyers and seller’s market.

New construction absorption (the number of new condominiums placed into contract), fell approximately 25 percent in September, following a decline of 39 percent in August. “Slowdown is typical in the late summer, however absorption is still 36 percent higher than the same month one year ago,” noted Kennelly.

The Condominium Pricing Index, part of the firm’s monthly Trend Sheet (available at http://www.themarkcompany.com), is based on recent sales data, and uses a proprietary quantitative method to measure trends in market demand. It tracks the value of a new construction condominium without the volatility of inventory changes.

Grace Cathedral, Nob Hill

For Sale | 1177 California #304 | Gramercy Towers | Nob Hill, San Francisco

This exquisitely remodeled luxury Nob Hill condominium with views West/Southwest to Twin Peaks & outlooks onto Jones Street, located in the heart-center of San Francisco’s premiere postcard neighborhood is for sale, and you get the first look.

Featuring one bedroom, one bath, one car parking, 24/7 attended lobby, pool, spa, workout area, onsite management, a gracious lobby & courtyard entry, with world famous landmarks at your doorstep (Grace Cathedral, Huntington Park, Fairmont, Mark Hopkins & Huntington Hotels, cable cars), and a short walk to Union Square, Hyde & Polk Streets, this is the A+ Nob Hill lifestyle so many crave. Blending old world San Francisco charm with a new school WALKSCORE of 100 points, Liebherr refrigerator, Miele Dishwasher, and Fagor Range/Oven, does it get any better?!

To add to the wonderful appeal of this home and location, Gramercy Towers is expertly managed.

Listing Details:
$779,000
1 bed
1 bath
1 car parking
Remodeled Kitchen and Bath
Views
Liebherr Refrigerator
Miele Dishwasher
Fagor Range/Oven
Caesarstone Countertops
Designer Cabinets
Custom Closets
Bar seating
Views
HOA Dues: $848.83 (Includes earthquake insurance, PG&E, heat, water, garbage, common area maintenance, 24/7 lobby, onsite management, and reserves.)

Showing Schedule:
Broker Tour: 10/20/15 from 9-10:30am
Private Showings Available upon request
Offer date (if any) TBD

MLS Listing Information

Representing buyers and sellers of amazing and unique property is what I do. This property is no exception. Please come take a look or contact me for further details.

Exclusively listed by:
Alexander Clark
Paragon Real Estate Group
theFrontSteps.com
alexclark@gmail.com
415-254-5351

You can also contact me with the form below:

1177 California, Gramercy Towers Pool

SOLD | 1177 California #1024, Nob Hill, San Francisco

I’m pleased to announce the successful off market purchase of an awesome unit at Gramercy Towers in San Francisco’s one and only Nob Hill district. My clients got word of this new listing, called me up, and we snagged it before it had a chance to go to MLS. They are thrilled, seller is happy, all is good.

Two bedrooms, two baths, remodeled, views, and great layout. Sales price $1,650,000.

Tired of getting beat out by multiple buyers…you gotta get somebody like me on your side. I have great relations with the majority of San Francisco realtors, I’m a member of the Top Agent Network, and I have my finger on the off market pulse, although my clients sniffed this one out…but that’s what it takes! Teamwork.

Representing buyers and sellers of amazing and unique property is what I do. This property is no exception.

Contact me, I’ll help you out.

Alexander Clark
Paragon Real Estate Group
theFrontsteps.com
alexclark@gmail.com
415-254-5351

The San Francisco Real Estate Market Report | October 2015

Home-Buying vs. Gold & Apple Stock – as an Investment, Median Home Price Appreciation & Neighborhood Values, the City’s Most Expensive Condo Buildings…it’s all below. Read on dear Reader, read on!

The autumn selling season started with a large surge of new listings right after Labor Day, but it will be another month or so before preliminary statistical data is available on home sales negotiated since then. However, it is clear that the recent volatility in national and international financial markets has not so far caused a severe adjustment to local home prices. While we wait for early autumn sales to close in quantity, we’ll review the market from a variety of angles.

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Short-Term & Long-Term
San Francisco Home Price Appreciation

2011 – 2015, by Quarter

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It’s not unusual for median prices to drop in the 3rd quarter, which happened this year as well. This has less to do with fair market value, than with the fact that the market for higher priced homes slows down much more than that of the general market in summer.

1994 – 2015, by Year

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Return on Cash Investment

Comparing Buying a Home in San Francisco
to Inflation, Gold, the S&P 500 & Apple Stock

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For the purposes of this analysis, we’ve broken home ownership into 2 aspects, the first being ongoing housing costs – mortgage interest, home insurance, property taxes, maintenance – which after tax deductions could be compared to the cost of renting a similar home. The second aspect, illustrated in the chart above, is the cash investment side of buying a home and the compound annual return on that investment, after closing costs and loan principal repayment are deducted, if one had purchased a median SF house in 1994.

For the San Francisco Median House calculation, we used the 1994 median price ($265,000), with a 20% downpayment ($53,000) and paying 1.5% in buy-side closing costs ($3975) for a total cash investment of $56,975. Net proceeds were calculated using the 2015 YTD median sales price ($1,250,000), deducting 6% in sell-side closing costs ($75,000) and the original 80% mortgage balance ($212,000), which equals $963,000. This equals an annual compound return on investment of 14.4% over the 21-year period.

All of us should have put every penny we had into Apple stock in 1994, but barring that, purchasing a home in San Francisco would have been an excellent alternative – particularly if you’d bought in the Mission. Three factors not included in the above analysis further increase the financial benefits of home purchase over the other investments graphed: 1) the $250,000/$500,000 capital gains tax exclusion on the sale of a primary residence (potentially saving up to $75,000 in taxes), 2) the “forced savings” effect of gradually paying off one’s mortgage (if one resists refinancing out growing home equity), which has a substantial wealth-building effect, and 3) over time, the ongoing cost of housing with a fixed rate loan, strategically refinanced when rates go significantly lower, will usually fall well below rental costs that continue to rise with inflation.

With financial assets subject to market cycles, changing the buy or sell dates in this analysis can dramatically affect the return. We picked 1994, because of the availability of MLS median price data going back to then.

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Median Sales Prices by Neighborhood

2-Bedroom Condos in San Francisco

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3-Bedroom Houses in San Francisco

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Market Dynamics

Sales Price to List Price Percentages
& Average Days on Market

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These two charts above illustrate both how competitive the market has been – the average SF home selling without a price reduction sold very quickly for 13.5% over asking price in the 3rd quarter – and the significant difference between homes that get an immediate market response and those that have to go through one or more price reductions before selling.

Months Supply of Inventory

Seasonality, Luxury and Non-Luxury Homes

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The lower the Months Supply of Inventory, the stronger the buyer demand as compared to the supply of homes available to purchase. This chart illustrates the seasonality of the real estate market – typically strongest in spring (especially) and autumn, and slowing down during the summer and especially the winter holidays. It also shows that the lower-priced home segment is generally hotter than the higher priced – as shown by the lower MSI readings – and finally, how much more the luxury home segment is affected by seasonality. The dramatic slowdown in the highest-priced segment during summer and winter is one of the big reasons why median home prices usually drop during those seasons.

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Condo Average-Dollar-per-Square-Foot Values
by Era of Construction

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The Most Expensive Condo Buildings in San Francisco

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This doesn’t include brand new luxury condo developments – some of which are selling at very high prices – nor many very expensive and very prestigious condo and co-op buildings which simply have too few sales for meaningful statistical analysis.

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3rd Quarter Market Snapshot

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Spacious 3 Bedroom

SOLD: 1471 McAllister, Alamo Square, San Francisco

It’s taken me a little while to get some recent sales posted, but I’m happy to announce we sold this wonderful 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Alamo Square at 1471 McAllister. Considering my clients had only purchased it barely two years prior, we did incredibly well.

I would have liked to list it at $1,295,000, but ultimately we rolled the dice a little higher and listed at $1,395,000. Interest was incredibly high, dozens of disclosure packages were handed out, and ultimately no offers came in on the day offers were to be reviewed (the week prior to Fourth of July…note to self, don’t do that again). The next day the phone started ringing off the hook. Two offers came in, we ratified one, and it fell apart. BOM (that’s Back On the Market) a few days later, we received two more offers and were able to hold it together. Lack of official nearby parking was the killer for us, but really, we did fine. Amazing actually.

Congratulations to the thrilled buyer and my happy seller. Let’s do it again soon!

SOLD: $1,375,000

1471 McAllister, Alamo Square listing information [theFrontSteps]

Image Source: SocketSite.com

Maximum Overbid Of The Week | “Corpse House” Wins | HazMat Suit Sold Separately

It’s the house that had not only a hoarder, but a mummified corpse father of said hoarder that takes top honors this week. Originally listed for $928,000, 152 4th Ave buyers jumped at this house, put it in contract for $1,029,500, and sent it to court for overbids. With the hoarding daughter hospitalized and hopefully getting help, 152 4th Ave now has new owners and a final sales price —$1,560,000—HazMat suit sold separately.

Address BR/BA/Units DOM List Price Sold Price Overbid
152 4th Avenue 2/2.00/N/A 38 $1,029,500 $1,560,000 51.53%
175 Boutwell Street 1/1.00/N/A 14 $399,000 $561,000 40.60%
1440 15th Avenue 4/2.00/N/A 18 $998,000 $1,350,000 35.27%
648 Felton 4/1.00/N/A 14 $749,000 $1,008,000 34.58%
160 Boutwell Street 1/1.00/N/A 15 $399,950 $535,000 33.77%
37 Miguel Street 2/1.00/2 13 $899,000 $1,200,000 33.48%
3974 18th Street 2/1.50/ 13 $1,249,000 $1,650,000 32.11%
25 Sierra Street 3/2.50/505 12 $1,299,000 $1,701,078 30.95%
178 Holladay Avenue 2/2.00/N/A 12 $995,000 $1,300,000 30.65%
119 Madrid Street 3/2.50/N/A 18 $799,000 $1,038,000 29.91%

In case you track these, we changed the feed and it now pulls weekly top 10, rather than past two weeks. So check back every Friday.

Have a great weekend!

152 4th Ave, San Francisco [Property Detail Page]
New Listings, Recent Sales, Top 20 Overbids, Top 20 Underbids, Stalefish [the Goods]
Corpse Found Inside Hoarder’s Home [SocketSite]
Creepy Lake District “Mummy House” Returns for $928k [Curbed]
1793 Sanchez St, For Sale, Glen Park [theFrontSteps]

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Home Sales by San Francisco District and Price

These charts show the breakdown of San Francisco home sales as reported to the city’s Multiple Listing Service, year to date 2015. We picked this period, because generally speaking prices appreciated again in late winter/ early spring 2015. These analyses are sorted by city districts and neighborhoods by the number of transactions in different sales-price segments. Note that median sales prices will change every time the time period or neighborhoods included in an analysis change.

The first chart below the San Francisco neighborhood map is an overview for the entire city.

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These 2 charts below track San Francisco luxury home sales by price range and neighborhood. Rather arbitrarily, we designate the luxury segment as those condos, co-ops and TICs selling for $1,500,000 or more, and those houses selling for $2,000,000 and above. Considering the appreciation of the market in recent years, we may have to adjust those thresholds soon.

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As always, if you have further questions, just shout.