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Archive for the ‘comment du jour’ Category

Comment du Jour: “A Tide Going Back To The Ocean”

Friday, November 14th, 2008

This from “asad” on “An Interesting Sale and Theory“. In that post, fluj essentially contributes strong home sales and prices in the southerly neighborhoods of San Francisco to their gentrification largely as a result of the jobs available even further south (think Silicon Valley and such). “asad” is not so convinced it will last:

Wait til Google [and] Cisco start to announce layoffs early next year. Sure some people still have money but it’s like a tide going back to the ocean. You still have tide pools here and there but if the tide doesn’t come back in soon, the tide pools are going to dry out, they just take longer.

Good analogy. Thanks for the comment. Google announcing layoffs would be a huge deal for the national economy, so we’re all ears if anybody else would like to share some knowledge in the comments below.

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Comment Du Jour: “The People in Noe Valley Have a Fully Realized Liberal Fantasy”

Tuesday, October 28th, 2008

This comment du jour comes to us from “James” in our most recent Cole Valley vs. Noe Valley Battle Royale, where he provides his explanation of why Noe Valley is the way it is:

Noe Valley has the feeling of being a small suburban village unto itself and this has been the case for a long while. It feels very similar to places like Mill Valley and Palo Alto (which, i admit, some people consider quite different in themselves).

Having lived here [in Noe Valley] for years, I will admit that there is certainly more of a ‘car culture’ here. Obviously there are an endless number of families who made the very self-conscious decision to move here. The suburban quality is not primarily caused by Noe Valley’s feeling of being physically removed from the city, though. I think it is more caused by the feeling that everyone in Noe Valley is deeply focused on the practical going-ons of their individual every day life. For instance, you are more likely to see young people off on their own in Cole Valley, just sitting in a cafe with a book. In Noe Valley, on the other hand, one is more likely to see a group of women having coffee, with their local jogging group, with their babies, with their jogging strollers, on the way to a play dates, or shopping, and then yoga, etc.

What I mean to say is that while Noe Valley feels removed from city life, that such a feeling may be just a manifestation of this suburban mindset on the neighborhood’s residents’ parts. They may not want to live entirely ‘in the city’ in every sense of the term. They want to be near a lot of things (which Noe Valley certainly is, and not at all far away from great things as some posts here have stated), without sacrificing the feeling that their neighborhood is ‘more home’ in a certain sense than the rest of the city.

So, the people in Noe Valley simply have a fully realized liberal fantasy. The ‘charm’ of a tightly controlled social environment, while being near all of those other parts of the city that they can’t quite bear to give up…

Well said James! Thanks for the comment, and thanks for reading theFrontSteps.

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Comment du Jour: Things aren’t so bad (relatively speaking)

Wednesday, October 22nd, 2008

From “44yo Hipster” in yesterday’s Stats & Numbers for Single Family Homes [edited for flow]:

Di’cha [Did you] check out the DQ #’s for sept…ouch!

And the #’s on this chart don’t paint a much better picture, especially with the financial/stock market/oil price melt down. Man, a lot (most) investors are taking a big hit on their portfolios. Even Kerkorian got his ass handed to him on his activist investment forays with Ford Motor Co. and just wait, the shit is going to hit the fan big time for oil rich nations (think: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iran.)

So…I guess taking a 10% hit on SF investment property values (while the rents have continued going up) is *really* minor. I have friends who lost 30% of their stock portfolio in 3 weeks. and others I know who lost > 30% in RE investments in Southern California in the last 2 yrs. Those who own in SF should thank their lucky stars, methinketh.

We’d have to agree.

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Comment du Jour: “egg tossing contest” and “B&T’er”

Wednesday, October 8th, 2008

From yesterday’s “Spot or Not: Parking in San Francisco”, and what to do with a car that blocks your driveway, (tow or ticket) a reader (”YouKidsGetOuttaMyDriveway“) hits the nail on the head:

Use as a target for an egg tossing contest and THEN have it towed. Only a B&T’er would be stupid/rude/self-absorbed enough to do that.

For those outside of the city and not necessarily in the know, a “B&T’er” would be a person (extra points for the reader that can describe a B&T’er) that needs to take either a Bridge or Tunnel to get to the city. As for the “egg-tossing”…well that’s just brilliant and why the hell didn’t we think of that?!

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Comment du Jour: We love Realtors yes we do, we love Realtors how ’bout you!

Monday, August 25th, 2008

Because we know many of you don’t read the brilliant comments. From time to time we have to bring them to you (edited slightly for flow):

I did not read over the hoards of posts, but i would like to leave a comment! I really do not care how much Realtors make, matters not. But, i do care that in fact, my Realtor is a PRICK. I am in the process of buying a house (within a couple of weeks of closing, supposedly) and my Realtor called me, YELLING at me, telling me I’M lagging behind and not working towards getting this loan closed. Although Every single fucking stressful day I’m getting two or three calls from the lender wanting “just one more” document of some kind to “get this thing pushed through”. Would you believe that the sellers/Realtor expect ME to paint over the window frames to pass an FHA inspection? Yup, the buyer who doesn’t even own the house yet……….. two weeks ago my friend went and built a HAND RAIL on the front porch for me, because the sellers, and the Realtors say it is my job to put the house up to code, not theirs.

Meanwhile the Realtor, if he actually is a Realtor. ([We left it out, but it's in the original comment] at Remax Select, Flint Michigan) is belligerent with me, rude, and forceful, telling me that because they are willing to sell the price for “so Low” and willing to agree to “all my terms” which they didn’t anyway!! that I should just march my happy ass over there and make sure their house passes an inspection.

Alas, I will paint the fuckin windows, because I want the house. but I’ll tell you what i don’t want…….. i don’t want that cocksucker to get one cent commission when i close, so, I am up at 5am researching [so that's how you found us] if it’s possible to change Realtors right before close… because you know what? I wanna stick it to the fucker and teach that little man a lesson.

[Much Love, Sarah]

As we said, “Ouch!” That hurts and we’re sorry you had that experience, surely this would never happen in San Francisco… ;-) It begs the question, why didn’t you fire this guy sooner!?

-Why are Realtors so arrogant and such assholes [theFrontSteps]

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Comment du Jour: “…my demolition contractor ripped out the one tree I was supposed to save”

Friday, June 27th, 2008

For the new readers, the comment du jour is our way of saying thanks to those that participate in commenting, and a way to show all of you that don’t comment just what kind of good stuff you’re missing. Today’s comment du jour comes from Sparky in “Should I even Start a Blog” after we suggested he, the Fluj, and Alex sit down and have a little chat about the future of blogging real estate in SF:

I am not savvy about the blogosphere, but funny, interesting or horrible things happen to me at work every day. So I can write about that.

Since I wrote the above, my demolition contractor ripped out the one tree I was supposed to save at a house, and now me and the home owner have to pull it out of the dumpster and have a ceremony and tell it “we are sorry it was a mistake”. Dead Serious.

We can’t wait to get you up and running!

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Comment du Jour: “Daly needs to be run over by a Muni bus”

Thursday, June 19th, 2008

Clearly this guy [San Francisco Supervisor Chris Daly] lives in a cloud (according to most property owners), but somehow he remains in office. Our comment du jour comes from “Live Smart” in our recent post Daly goes after rental property owners…yet again.

Daly needs to be run over by a MUNI bus.

Well said, and we couldn’t agree more [statement retracted]. However, we do not wish that he actually gets run over, but like your choice of figuratively stating how you honestly feel. We’re sure you’re not alone.

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Comment du Jour: “Check out the VC funding [the Bay Area] received…”

Thursday, June 5th, 2008

From Aubear1 in Bay Area attracts top talent and money (theFrontSteps):

Check out the percentage of VC funding that this region received during Q1 ‘08 versus other parts of the country:

PWC MoneyTree.com

I can’t think of a more compelling piece of information that paints the picture of how this region continues to create both real jobs & wealth during the current economic downturn. You can go back to the previous quarters as well to see that the “Silicon Valley” region has consistently won a significant piece of the funding awarded. In my opinion, this is one of the key elements that continues to drive the local real estate market (and the US economy). This region is at the “tip of the spear” in terms of “creative destruction” and stands unique among most top tier global cities. The SF Magazine gives great recent examples of this as does the recent book, “Who’s Your City” (creativeclass.com/whos_your_city).

Thanks for letting us all in on this information bit of information….

-PWC MoneyTree.com

-creativeclass.com/whos_your_city

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Comment du Jour: “I’m a Renter who made the conscience decision to NOT buy…”

Wednesday, May 14th, 2008

This time we take from Eddy!, who we have never met in person, but who continues to impress. His comment was in yesterday’s post, “Isolated Panic amongst some San Francisco Realtors or something larger“:

I’m a renter who made the conscience decision to NOT buy — I’m well financed and consider myself reasonably knowledgeable on the subject of real estate. I make no claims or long term predictions about the market, but I do state my opinion from time to time and am more than willing to state my opinion publicly on the subject.

Anyway, I chose not to rent as I felt pretty strongly that the market was due to correct on some level. I’m not a long term owner in SF and couldn’t justify the potential transaction cost losses due to owning over a short term (i.e., commission & transfer tax). I also feel that most anyone that bought on margin was looking at financial ruin in the event that the market did correct.

I’ve no idea if we’re correcting or not as I’m astounded at the properties that are flying off the market. But I feel pretty good about my decision to not buy although I’m fairly certain that most of the properties I looked at are worth more now than they were 24 months ago — but not enough to offset transaction cost losses.

Bottom line… there are a lot of balls still in the air as it related to real estate broadly and San Francisco specifically. That said, the buyers are out there, myself included, and I tend to agree with Alex in that a well priced listing will not last long on the market. I suspect the low ball offers are probably on the horizon if they haven’t already started coming in to listing agents. ???

Great choice of words and observations. Funny thing is, even when the market was through the roof and 10 offers was considered average, there were ALWAYS low ball offers on every property. Our market today is no exception. So let’s say we all get some balls and make some offers!

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Comment du jour: “It sucks to be an untalented Realtor…”

Friday, April 25th, 2008

We love ourselves some hot Realtors, and we also think our “average” colleagues (the rest of us) are great (even though we continually bash the not so great), but this comment by Kenny the other day in Stats & Numbers: Condos… was so blunt and in your face we had to post it.

It sucks to be an untalented Realtor or a novice Realtor right now. Those of us with clients and listings are pleasantly surprised the market has held up as well as it has, and are doing fine.

And we have to ask, “Those of us who aren’t…?”

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Comment du Jour: When Zestimates randomly drop $600,000

Tuesday, February 12th, 2008

Although we’ve recently made friends with the folks at Zillow, that doesn’t mean we can’t bust their chops. We still applaud their innovation.

From “Sleepiguy in “Zanic! Zillow releases Q4 home value report and San Francisco is up 3.6%?”

I stopped paying attention to Zillow when my home’s Zillow value decreased randomly by $600k one week while my neighbor’s houses showed significant increases.

Adding to it, James’ reply:

What did you do sleepiguy? Paint it bright purple?

So who’s got a photo of a nice purple house in the city? Send it to thefrontsteps@gmail.com.

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Comment du Jour: “Deal…SF…Jive”

Saturday, December 1st, 2007

Where we poach from our readers and their comments to show all you folks that don’t follow or contribute to the comments what you’re missing (and hopefully shame you into getting your ass over their and chiming in). Today, we steal from “anon” (wish you gave us a name) on “Verbatim: Why is Housing in some Cities Still Booming?“:

The words deal and San Francisco don’t jive together. You either get one or the other!

Au contraire…deals are all relative. To a five year old, getting a deal is trading 4 marbles instead of 8 for a piece of gum. To Paris Hilton a deal is getting out of jail early for committing to save alcoholic elephants. To Donald Trump a deal is trading a skyscraper for a golf course. To a San Francisco home buyer a deal might be $995,000 instead of $997,000 for that fixer on the corner. You see?

…and thanks so much for commenting.  We really appreciate it.

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Comment du Jour: “As Homeowners Volume is Not Very Relevant”

Wednesday, November 28th, 2007

Sometimes we beat our heads against the wall to come up with a way, in a paragraph or less, to describe what is going on in this market. We show the highs, and we show the lows. Today, we pull from our previous post about the 41% dip in volume at the $500-700,000 price range, and quote “Gaz” who hit the nail on the head.

As homeowners, volume of houses sold is not very relevant. What matters more are three metrics:

For a determined period of time:

- How many properties where listed within a certain price range ?

- How many properties where sold within that price range ?

- What was the price difference (bid vs. ask) at sale ?

These metrics help assess if inventory is building up and what effect is it having on prices.

From my own research (I’m looking to upgrade homes) into the $800K - $1.2M properties (condos/single family in west and north neighborhoods of SF) from the Sep. 1 period to the Nov. 21 period:

* ~70%+ percent of properties listed have moved into escrow

* There has been downward pressure (-5% to -7%) on asking prices for ~10% of properties in that range/timeframe

* A few properties have sold above asking

* ~10% of properties have been on the market longer than 80 days

Interestingly, we’ve looked at 30+ properties in that category, and we found a grand total of … one that fit all of our requirements !

Why do we pull comments? It’s simple. Not all the people coming to this site (there are a lot) are commenting. Not even close. And not all are reading the comments, but they should.

Thank you “Gaz” for sharing. We appreciate it. Now go ahead and tell everyone you know that your analysis is world famous…well almost. ;-)

-Nothing Special, just $421,000 over asking, that’s all (1809 Diamond) [theFrontSteps]

-Big Price, Big Wine Cellar, Big Time Stalefish [theFrontSteps]

-What’s going on: $500,000-$700,000 [theFrontSteps]

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Comment du Jour: “The best and brightest homes…”

Tuesday, November 20th, 2007

From “eddy” on Tanking Market? Come again? That’s what she said…”:

The best and nicest homes will continue to fly in this market. Any home with a story or in disrepair is going to get stale.

We didn’t say it, he did. But we’d have to say if “fixer” falls under the category of “disrepair”, we’re going to have to disagree on that one point. Fixers, for the most part, are still flying.

Comment du Jour: Stock Market Crash and San Francisco Real Estate

Sunday, November 11th, 2007

Every so often, we pull a comment from the discussions that we think might spark further commentary, because we know not everyone is reading the comments, and we couldn’t possibly come up with all these great thoughts ourselves.

This time we take from “SanFranTim” on “Verbatim: 26 year old google guy I hear with 50% down”.

If the Dow falls to 12000, then even the “middling” [we think you mean middle of the road like $600,000-$900,000?] SF properties will start flying off the shelves. Remember what happened to RE prices after the last stock market crash.

A very interesting observation.  Can you elaborate on what exactly did happen after the last stock market crash, and what you mean by “middling”?

As always, everyone else is welcomed, and encouraged to join in.

-Comments du Jour [theFrontSteps]

-“Verbatim: 26 year old google guy I hear with 50% down”

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